Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Poggibonsi vs Cannara

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group E 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

35' Event
Lomangino D.
45' Event
Salto D. A.
45' Event
Accursi D.

AI Match Summary

Poggibonsi in this Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Poggibonsi.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Poggibonsi
30%
Draws
41%
Cannara
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Cannara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Poggibonsi lately — more wins on the board than Cannara.
  • Model gives Poggibonsi a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Poggibonsi have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 30%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Poggibonsi Clean Sheet 20%
Cannara Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Poggibonsi Cannara
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 5
Draws 8 8
Losses 15 17
Goals Scored 0.83 0.67
Goals Conceded 1.27 1.77
Expected Goals (xG) 0.94 0.76
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Cannara vs Poggibonsi
3:2
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Poggibonsi vs Cannara
3:2
Jan 30, 2022 Serie D - Group E
Cannara vs Poggibonsi
0:1
Sep 19, 2021 Serie D - Group E
Poggibonsi vs Cannara
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poggibonsi Compare

Top Goalscorer Salto D. A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Accursi D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.72
Avg xA / game 0.47

Cannara Compare

Top Goalscorer Lomangino D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Schvindt D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.69
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poggibonsi 36 / 100
Cannara 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Poggibonsi Cannara

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Poggibonsi found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).

Defensive concern: Cannara conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Poggibonsi remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Poggibonsi VS Cannara
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Poggibonsi

(Home)
10 May
Orvietana
1 : 0
Poggibonsi
03 May
Poggibonsi
1 : 0
Scandicci
26 Apr
Cannara
3 : 2
Poggibonsi
19 Apr
Poggibonsi
0 : 0
Tau
12 Apr
Camaiore Calcio
1 : 1
Poggibonsi
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Cannara

(Away)
03 May
Foligno
1 : 0
Cannara
26 Apr
Cannara
3 : 2
Poggibonsi
19 Apr
Cannara
1 : 1
Scandicci
12 Apr
Tau
1 : 0
Cannara
02 Apr
Cannara
1 : 0
San Donato Tavarnelle
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Grosseto 34 22 6 6 58:25 72
2 Tau 34 18 9 7 53:33 63
3 Prato 34 20 5 9 49:29 63
4 Siena 34 17 9 8 57:35 60
5 Seravezza Pozzi 34 15 12 7 42:29 57
6 Terranuova Traiana 34 14 9 11 28:30 51
7 Foligno 34 14 9 11 45:37 51
8 Scandicci 34 11 15 8 39:32 48
9 Montevarchi 34 10 16 8 28:32 46
10 Sporting Trestina 34 10 12 12 40:42 42
11 San Donato Tavarnelle 34 9 13 12 30:35 40
12 Ghiviborgo 34 10 10 14 42:44 40
13 Orvietana 34 9 11 14 33:37 38
14 Follonica Gavorrano 34 9 10 15 36:49 37
15 Camaiore Calcio 34 9 8 17 41:54 35
16 Poggibonsi 34 7 10 17 29:46 31
17 Cannara 34 6 8 20 24:59 26
18 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro 34 2 16 16 20:46 22
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Out)