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Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs LKS Lodz - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion Miejski, Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Our Tip

Match Events

45' Event
Majewski R.
46'
Sub
Szczygiel L. In: Arasa A.
Out: Szczygiel L.
46'
Sub
Blachewicz M. In: Karasinski S.
Out: Blachewicz M.

AI Match Summary

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
20%
Draws
29%
LKS Lodz
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to LKS Lodz lately — more wins on the board than Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki.
  • Model gives Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki a 51% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 12%
LKS Lodz Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki LKS Lodz
Matches Played 29 26
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.31 1.54
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.35
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2026 Division 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs LKS Lodz
2:0
May 7, 2026 Division 1
LKS Lodz vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
3:2
Sep 29, 2025 Division 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs LKS Lodz
3:0
Feb 19, 2022 Club Friendly
LKS Lodz vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
4:2
Apr 24, 2016 III Liga - Group VI
LKS Lodz vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Majewski R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.01
Avg xA / game 0.66

LKS Lodz Compare

Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 38 / 100
LKS Lodz 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki LKS Lodz

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

LKS Lodz let in goals in 81% of their last 26 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki VS LKS Lodz
1.63 Goals Scored 1.25
2.25 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

(Home)
10 Oct
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 4
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
02 Oct
Radomiak Radom
7 : 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
19 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 0
LKS Lodz
13 Sept
Unia Skierniewice
3 : 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
04 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 0
Warta Poznan
Page 1 of 6

LKS Lodz

(Away)
19 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 0
LKS Lodz
11 Sept
Puszcza
1 : 2
LKS Lodz
06 Sept
Arka Gdynia
1 : 1
LKS Lodz
03 Sept
Tychy
1 : 0
LKS Lodz
28 Aug
Odra Opole
0 : 0
LKS Lodz
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 10 6 3 1 19:8 21
2 Polonia Warszawa 10 5 2 3 17:13 17
3 Termalica Bruk-Bet 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
4 LKS Lodz 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
5 Warta Poznan 10 5 0 5 18:15 15
6 Legnica 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
7 S. Rzeszow 9 4 2 3 10:15 14
8 Lechia Gdansk 9 4 1 4 17:15 13
9 Pogon Siedlce 9 3 3 3 9:8 12
10 Chrobry Glogow 10 3 3 4 11:12 12
11 Ruch Chorzow 9 3 3 3 9:11 12
12 Stal Mielec 10 3 3 4 16:24 12
13 Podbeskidzie 10 1 8 1 13:14 11
14 Arka Gdynia 10 3 2 5 12:13 11
15 Unia Skierniewice 10 3 2 5 12:17 11
16 Odra Opole 9 2 3 4 7:9 9
17 Polonia Bytom 9 1 6 2 14:17 9
18 Puszcza 8 2 0 6 8:12 6
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)