Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Otwock

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group VI
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group VI game between Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki and Otwock finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
6%
Draws
4%
Otwock
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki come out ahead of Otwock on wins alone.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki taking it.
  • Regular III Liga - Group VI form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 13%
Otwock Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Otwock
Matches Played 41 30
Wins 9 4
Draws 14 3
Losses 18 23
Goals Scored 1.13 0
Goals Conceded 2.38 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2016 III Liga - Group VI
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Otwock
1:0
Sep 23, 2015 III Liga - Group VI
Otwock vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
3:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 84 / 100
Otwock 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Otwock

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Otwock conceded in 90% of 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki scored in 68% of their last 41 outings.

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki VS -
1.13 Goals Scored 0
2.38 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

(Home)
25 Jul
Lechia Gdansk
0 : 3
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
18 Jul
Legia
2 : 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
17 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0 : 2
Suwalki
11 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 2
Pogon Siedlce
07 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 1
Trencin
Page 1 of 9

Otwock

(Away)
04 Jun
Swit Mazowiecki
5 : 0
Otwock
01 Jun
Otwock
0 : 0
Ner Poddebice
28 May
Polonia Warszawa
5 : 1
Otwock
22 May
Otwock
0 : 6
Ursus Warszawa
18 May
Warta Dzialoszyn
2 : 0
Otwock
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Polonia Warszawa34215862:2568
2Ursus Warszawa34198756:2665
3Sokol Aleksandrow Lodz341811553:2465
4Tomaszow Mazowiecki34198779:3765
5Legia II34198766:3865
6LKS Lodz34197871:3764
7Pelikan341810658:2964
8Swit Mazowiecki341712561:2763
9Blekitni Raciaz341581156:5253
10Warta Sieradz341271543:4643
11Bron Radom349101551:7037
12Warta Dzialoszyn341051933:8235
13Pilica Bialobrzegi341042048:6034
14Oskar Przysucha34781942:7829
15Energia Kozienice34691941:6427
16Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki34691936:6027
17Otwock34642424:8622
18Ner Poddebice34492131:7021
Promotion - III Liga - Group I 2015/2016 (Play Offs)