Sport Picks

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Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Pogon Siedlce

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Rosolek M.
(Penalty)
32' Event
Rosolek M.
43' Event
Jaron D.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly game between Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki and Pogon Siedlce finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
33%
Draws
27%
Pogon Siedlce
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Pogon Siedlce carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Club Friendly form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 68%
Pogon Siedlce Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Siedlce
Matches Played 28 26
Wins 4 6
Draws 11 5
Losses 13 15
Goals Scored 0.75 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.25 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Pogon Siedlce
2:2
Apr 19, 2026 Division 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Pogon Siedlce
0:2
Oct 4, 2025 Division 1
Pogon Siedlce vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1:2
Jun 28, 2025 Club Friendly
Pogon Siedlce vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
3:1
Feb 4, 2023 Club Friendly
Pogon Siedlce vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaron D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Glogowski K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Pogon Siedlce Compare

Top Goalscorer Rosolek M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 50 / 100
Pogon Siedlce 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Pogon Siedlce

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRO Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Pogon Siedlce conceded in 81% of 26 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki's goal record stands at 68% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Recent resilience: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki VS Pogon Siedlce
0.75 Goals Scored 0.75
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

(Home)
25 Jul
Lechia Gdansk
0 : 3
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
18 Jul
Legia
2 : 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
17 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0 : 2
Suwalki
11 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 2
Pogon Siedlce
07 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 1
Trencin
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Pogon Siedlce

(Away)
25 Jul
Pogon Siedlce
1 : 1
LKS Lodz
18 Jul
Radomiak Radom
1 : 2
Pogon Siedlce
11 Jul
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 2
Pogon Siedlce
04 Jul
Jagiellonia
4 : 1
Pogon Siedlce
27 Jun
Pogon Siedlce
0 : 3
Unia Skierniewice
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