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Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Suwalki - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

World World

Club Friendly
Our Tip

Match Events

53' Event
Witasik P.
61' Event
Guzewski B.

AI Match Summary

Suwalki in this Club Friendly matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Suwalki.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
15%
Draws
50%
Suwalki
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Suwalki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki haven't matched Suwalki's recent run of results.
  • 50% — that's where the model lands on Suwalki taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Suwalki here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 10%
Suwalki Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Suwalki
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 17
Draws 8 6
Losses 13 6
Goals Scored 1.31 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.21
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 17, 2026 Club Friendly
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Suwalki
0:2
May 22, 2022 Division 2
Suwalki vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
4:0
Nov 13, 2021 Division 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Suwalki
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Compare

Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Suwalki Compare

Top Goalscorer Witasik P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Guzewski B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 18 / 100
Suwalki 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Suwalki

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Suwalki Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Suwalki let in goals in 66% of their last 29 matches.

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki VS Suwalki
2 Goals Scored 1.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 50%
75% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

(Home)
10 Oct
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 4
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
02 Oct
Radomiak Radom
7 : 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
19 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 0
LKS Lodz
13 Sept
Unia Skierniewice
3 : 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
04 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 0
Warta Poznan
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Suwalki

(Away)
09 Oct
Warta Sieradz
1 : 3
Suwalki
03 Oct
Suwalki
1 : 0
Plock II
26 Sept
Mazovia Minsk Mazowiecki
0 : 2
Suwalki
20 Sept
Suwalki
6 : 3
Widzew Lodz II
12 Sept
Olimpia Zambrow
1 : 1
Suwalki
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