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Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Termalica Bruk-Bet - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion Miejski, Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Zapolnik K.
Assist: Hilbrycht D.
21'
Biniek D.
42'
Zarowny A.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki and Termalica Bruk-Bet finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
15%
Draws
50%
Termalica Bruk-Bet
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Termalica Bruk-Bet

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

50% / Medium Confidence
  • Termalica Bruk-Bet carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 20%
Termalica Bruk-Bet Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Termalica Bruk-Bet
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 17
Draws 8 4
Losses 13 8
Goals Scored 1.31 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.76 1.52
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 28, 2026 Division 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Termalica Bruk-Bet
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Jedrasik J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Turski H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Termalica Bruk-Bet Compare

Top Goalscorer Zapolnik K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kubica K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 36 / 100
Termalica Bruk-Bet 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Termalica Bruk-Bet

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Termalica Bruk-Bet Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Termalica Bruk-Bet has conceded goals in 86% of their last 29 outings.

Games between these two average 4.00 goals.

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Solid form: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki VS Termalica Bruk-Bet
1.63 Goals Scored 1.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

(Home)
10 Oct
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 4
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
02 Oct
Radomiak Radom
7 : 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
19 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 0
LKS Lodz
13 Sept
Unia Skierniewice
3 : 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
04 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 0
Warta Poznan
Page 1 of 6

Termalica Bruk-Bet

(Away)
10 Oct
Unia Skierniewice
2 : 2
Termalica Bruk-Bet
03 Oct
Cracovia
2 : 3
Termalica Bruk-Bet
19 Sept
Termalica Bruk-Bet
1 : 0
Odra Opole
14 Sept
Stal Mielec
1 : 2
Termalica Bruk-Bet
04 Sept
Termalica Bruk-Bet
2 : 1
Lechia Gdansk
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 10 6 3 1 19:8 21
2 Polonia Warszawa 10 5 2 3 17:13 17
3 Termalica Bruk-Bet 10 5 2 3 16:14 17
4 Warta Poznan 10 5 0 5 18:15 15
5 LKS Lodz 10 4 3 3 13:11 15
6 Ruch Chorzow 10 4 3 3 11:11 15
7 Legnica 10 4 2 4 14:10 14
8 S. Rzeszow 9 4 2 3 10:15 14
9 Lechia Gdansk 9 4 1 4 17:15 13
10 Pogon Siedlce 9 3 3 3 9:8 12
11 Chrobry Glogow 10 3 3 4 11:12 12
12 Odra Opole 10 3 3 4 8:9 12
13 Polonia Bytom 10 2 6 2 15:17 12
14 Stal Mielec 10 3 3 4 16:24 12
15 Podbeskidzie 10 1 8 1 13:14 11
16 Arka Gdynia 10 3 2 5 12:13 11
17 Unia Skierniewice 10 3 2 5 12:17 11
18 Puszcza 9 2 0 7 8:13 6
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)