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Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Tychy

Poland Poland

Division 1 2025/2026 Stadion MZOS Znicz
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Gajgier A. In: Adkonis J.
Out: Gajgier A.
49'
Gieroba S.
57'
Sub
Konstantyn J. In: Jedrasik J.
Out: Konstantyn J.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 2025/2026 game between Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki and Tychy finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
44%
Draws
20%
Tychy
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki haven't matched Tychy's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 16%
Tychy Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Tychy
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 4 9
Draws 12 6
Losses 12 14
Goals Scored 1 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 17, 2026 Division 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Tychy
0:0
Nov 9, 2025 Division 1
Tychy vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 36 / 100
Tychy 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Tychy

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TYC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tychy conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

Solid form: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki VS Tychy
1 Goals Scored 1.25
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wisla342011372:3271
2Slask Wroclaw341711669:4762
3KS Wieczysta Krakow34169970:4757
4Chrobry Glogow341671148:3655
5LKS Lodz341591056:4854
6Polonia Warszawa341581152:4953
7Ruch Chorzow341411954:4653
8Legnica341571252:5352
9Puszcza341213945:4049
10Polonia Bytom341381356:5047
11Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki3411121151:5445
12Odra Opole3411111234:4044
13S. Rzeszow341271549:6043
14Stal Mielec341061851:6236
15Pogon Siedlce34991633:4336
16Pruszkow34772040:6828
17Leczna345121739:6227
18Tychy34582140:7423