Sport Picks
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznan - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Division 1 Stadion Miejski, Grodzisk Mazowiecki 
Match Events
37'
37'
Wolczek A.
51'
51'
Sub
Wolczek A. In: Kusztal P.
Out: Wolczek A.
52'
52'
Uzoigwe H.
AI Match Summary
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
43%
15%
42%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
42%
/ Low Confidence
- Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki haven't matched Warta Poznan's recent run of results.
- 42% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
- Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 15%
Warta Poznan Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | Warta Poznan |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 8 | 11 |
| Draws | 8 | 6 |
| Losses | 13 | 11 |
| Goals Scored | 1.31 | 1.64 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.76 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Sep 4, 2026 Division 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Warta Poznan
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Compare
Top Goalscorer Jaron D.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Warta Poznan Compare
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 35 / 100
Warta Poznan 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Warta Poznan
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Warta Poznan Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Warta Poznan has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Historical meetings average 1.00 goals per match.
Scoring Trends
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki VS Warta Poznan
1.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
(Home) 10 Oct
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 4 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
02 Oct
Radomiak Radom
7 : 2 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
19 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 0 LKS Lodz
13 Sept
Unia Skierniewice
3 : 2 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
04 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 0 Warta Poznan
Page 1 of 6
19 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 0 LKS Lodz
04 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 0 Warta Poznan
28 Aug
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
2 : 2 Termalica Bruk-Bet
14 Aug
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 1 S. Rzeszow
02 Aug
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 0 Puszcza
Page 1 of 3
Warta Poznan
(Away) 11 Oct
Stal Mielec
2 : 1 Warta Poznan
03 Oct
Chrobry Glogow
1 : 3 Warta Poznan
18 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 2 Puszcza
12 Sept
Warta Poznan
3 : 0 Arka Gdynia
04 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 0 Warta Poznan
Page 1 of 6
11 Oct
Stal Mielec
2 : 1 Warta Poznan
03 Oct
Chrobry Glogow
1 : 3 Warta Poznan
04 Sept
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1 : 0 Warta Poznan
30 Aug
Legnica
2 : 1 Warta Poznan
21 Aug
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 1 Warta Poznan
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki | 10 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 19:8 | 21 |
| 2 | Polonia Warszawa | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:13 | 17 |
| 3 | Termalica Bruk-Bet | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 4 | LKS Lodz | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 15 |
| 5 | Warta Poznan | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 18:15 | 15 |
| 6 | Legnica | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 14:9 | 14 |
| 7 | S. Rzeszow | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 10:15 | 14 |
| 8 | Lechia Gdansk | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 17:15 | 13 |
| 9 | Pogon Siedlce | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:8 | 12 |
| 10 | Chrobry Glogow | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 11:12 | 12 |
| 11 | Ruch Chorzow | 9 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9:11 | 12 |
| 12 | Stal Mielec | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 16:24 | 12 |
| 13 | Podbeskidzie | 10 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 13:14 | 11 |
| 14 | Arka Gdynia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:13 | 11 |
| 15 | Unia Skierniewice | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:17 | 11 |
| 16 | Odra Opole | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 17 | Polonia Bytom | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 14:17 | 9 |
| 18 | Puszcza | 8 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 8:12 | 6 |
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
