Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pogon Siedlce vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

World World

Club Friendly 2025 Stadion ROSRRiT
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Podlinski K.
36' Event
Adkonis J.
46'
Sub
Dias M. In: Dziegielewski D.
Out: Dias M.

AI Match Summary

Pogon Siedlce host Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki in the Club Friendly 2025. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Pogon Siedlce at 0.38 goals for, 2.25 against; Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki at 0.88 for, 1.63 against. Head-to-head, Pogon Siedlce have won 3 to Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 11, 2026, ending 2:2. The numbers (1.00 xG vs 1.56) point toward Pogon Siedlce. Pogon Siedlce in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Pogon Siedlce
28%
Draws
50%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Pogon Siedlce has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki.
  • Model forecasts a 50% win probability edge for Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Club Friendly 2025 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Pogon Siedlce Clean Sheet 15%
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Siedlce Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 5 4
Draws 6 12
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.38 0.88
Goals Conceded 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.38 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.25 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 11, 2026 Club Friendly
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Pogon Siedlce
2:2
Apr 19, 2026 Division 1
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki vs Pogon Siedlce
0:2
Oct 4, 2025 Division 1
Pogon Siedlce vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
1:2
Jun 28, 2025 Club Friendly
Pogon Siedlce vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
3:1
Feb 4, 2023 Club Friendly
Pogon Siedlce vs Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Siedlce Compare

Top Goalscorer Podlinski K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Danielewicz K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.29
Avg xA / game 0.19

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki Compare

Top Goalscorer Adkonis J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Siedlce 23 / 100
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Siedlce Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pogon Siedlce scored in 58% of their last 26 games.

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Pogon Siedlce went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Siedlce VS Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
0.38 Goals Scored 0.88
2.25 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%