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Stadium Background

Pogon Siedlce vs Pruszkow

Poland Poland

Division 1 2025/2026 Stadion ROSRRiT
Our Tip

Match Events

36'
Pawlik M.
59'
Sub
Niezgoda J. In: Demianiuk C.
Out: Niezgoda J.
59'
Sub
Pawlik M. In: Okhronchuk V.
Out: Pawlik M.

AI Match Summary

Pogon Siedlce host Pruszkow in the Division 1 2025/2026. This one's hard to separate. Recent numbers: Pogon Siedlce at 0.5 goals for, 1.75 against; Pruszkow at 1.63 for, 1.63 against. Head-to-head, Pogon Siedlce have won 3 to Pruszkow's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jul 4, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.06 - 1.69) back Pruszkow to edge this. Pruszkow in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

9%
Pogon Siedlce
11%
Draws
80%
Pruszkow
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Pruszkow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Pruszkow has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Pogon Siedlce.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Pruszkow.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Division 1 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Pogon Siedlce Clean Sheet 13%
Pruszkow Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Siedlce Pruszkow
Matches Played 26 27
Wins 5 7
Draws 6 6
Losses 15 14
Goals Scored 0.5 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 Club Friendly
Pogon Siedlce vs Pruszkow
0:0
Mar 15, 2026 Division 1
Pogon Siedlce vs Pruszkow
1:0
Jan 24, 2026 Club Friendly
Pruszkow vs Pogon Siedlce
2:1
Aug 30, 2025 Division 1
Pruszkow vs Pogon Siedlce
0:1
Jul 5, 2025 Club Friendly
Pruszkow vs Pogon Siedlce
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Siedlce Compare

Top Goalscorer Podlinski K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Pruszkow Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Siedlce 11 / 100
Pruszkow 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Siedlce Pruszkow

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ZNI Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pogon Siedlce scored in 58% of their last 26 games.

Pruszkow let in goals in 89% of their last 27 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Pogon Siedlce went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Pruszkow lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Siedlce VS Pruszkow
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.63
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Wisla342011372:3271
2Slask Wroclaw341711669:4762
3KS Wieczysta Krakow34169970:4757
4Chrobry Glogow341671148:3655
5LKS Lodz341591056:4854
6Polonia Warszawa341581152:4953
7Ruch Chorzow341411954:4653
8Legnica341571252:5352
9Puszcza341213945:4049
10Polonia Bytom341381356:5047
11Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki3411121151:5445
12Odra Opole3411111234:4044
13S. Rzeszow341271549:6043
14Stal Mielec341061851:6236
15Pogon Siedlce34991633:4336
16Pruszkow34772040:6828
17Leczna345121739:6227
18Tychy34582140:7423