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Stadium Background

Pogon Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce
Tue, Nov 3, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pogon Siedlce host Ruch Chorzow in the Division 1. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Ruch Chorzow have shipped 1.07 goals a game lately, while Pogon Siedlce have conceded 1.56 and scored 1.19. Head-to-head, Pogon Siedlce have won 2 to Ruch Chorzow's 0, with 3 draws. They last met on Feb 13, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.13 vs 1.25, favoring Ruch Chorzow. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Pogon Siedlce
30%
Draws
47%
Ruch Chorzow
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Ruch Chorzow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Ruch Chorzow come out ahead of Pogon Siedlce on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Ruch Chorzow's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Division 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Pogon Siedlce Clean Sheet 19%
Ruch Chorzow Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Siedlce Ruch Chorzow
Matches Played 27 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 4 7
Losses 14 8
Goals Scored 1.19 1.55
Goals Conceded 1.56 1.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 13, 2026 Division 1
Pogon Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzow
2:1
Aug 8, 2025 Division 1
Ruch Chorzow vs Pogon Siedlce
0:2
Feb 17, 2025 Division 1
Pogon Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzow
1:1
Aug 2, 2024 Division 1
Ruch Chorzow vs Pogon Siedlce
1:1
Dec 1, 2021 Division 2
Pogon Siedlce vs Ruch Chorzow
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Siedlce 24 / 100
Ruch Chorzow 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Siedlce Ruch Chorzow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ruch Chorzow Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pogon Siedlce scored in 70% of their last 27 games.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Ruch Chorzow's defensive record shows goals conceded in 59% of 29 matches.

Pogon Siedlce has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Siedlce VS Ruch Chorzow
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon Siedlce

(Home)
18 Oct
Pogon Siedlce
3 : 4
S. Rzeszow
15 Oct
Pogon Siedlce
1 : 3
Puszcza
09 Oct
Podbeskidzie
1 : 0
Pogon Siedlce
20 Sept
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 1
Arka Gdynia
12 Sept
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 0
Pogon Siedlce
Page 1 of 6

Ruch Chorzow

(Away)
16 Oct
Ruch Chorzow
3 : 0
Odra Opole
11 Oct
LKS Lodz
0 : 2
Ruch Chorzow
03 Oct
Ruch Chorzow
1 : 3
Lechia Gdansk
18 Sept
Polonia Bytom
0 : 0
Ruch Chorzow
12 Sept
Ruch Chorzow
3 : 3
Podbeskidzie
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 11 6 3 2 19:9 21
2 Polonia Warszawa 11 6 2 3 18:13 20
3 Termalica Bruk-Bet 11 6 2 3 18:14 20
4 Lechia Gdansk 11 6 1 4 21:17 19
5 Warta Poznan 11 6 0 5 19:15 18
6 LKS Lodz 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
7 Ruch Chorzow 11 5 3 3 14:11 18
8 Legnica 11 5 2 4 17:10 17
9 S. Rzeszow 11 5 2 4 15:20 17
10 Polonia Bytom 11 3 6 2 18:19 15
11 Chrobry Glogow 11 3 3 5 13:15 12
12 Pogon Siedlce 11 3 3 5 13:15 12
13 Odra Opole 11 3 3 5 8:12 12
14 Stal Mielec 11 3 3 5 16:27 12
15 Arka Gdynia 11 3 2 6 13:15 11
16 Podbeskidzie 11 1 8 2 13:15 11
17 Unia Skierniewice 11 3 2 6 12:18 11
18 Puszcza 11 3 0 8 11:16 9
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)