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Stadium Background

Pogon Siedlce vs S. Rzeszow - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Division 1 Stadion ROSRRiT, Siedlce
Sun, Oct 18, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pogon Siedlce host S. Rzeszow in the Division 1. This one's hard to separate. S. Rzeszow have shipped 1.96 goals a game lately, while Pogon Siedlce have conceded 1.46 and scored 1.08. Past meetings favor S. Rzeszow slightly — 1-2-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on May 10, 2026, ending 1:2. xG projections (1.00 - 1.19) back Pogon Siedlce to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

35%
Pogon Siedlce
20%
Draws
45%
S. Rzeszow
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: S. Rzeszow

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Pogon Siedlce have won more games recently than S. Rzeszow.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Pogon Siedlce Clean Sheet 20%
S. Rzeszow Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Siedlce S. Rzeszow
Matches Played 26 28
Wins 9 8
Draws 4 7
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 1.08 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.46 1.96
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 10, 2026 Division 1
Pogon Siedlce vs S. Rzeszow
1:2
Nov 2, 2025 Division 1
S. Rzeszow vs Pogon Siedlce
1:1
Mar 30, 2025 Division 1
S. Rzeszow vs Pogon Siedlce
2:4
Sep 1, 2024 Division 1
Pogon Siedlce vs S. Rzeszow
1:1
May 1, 2022 Division 2
Pogon Siedlce vs S. Rzeszow
1:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Siedlce 32 / 100
S. Rzeszow 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Siedlce S. Rzeszow

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

S. Rzeszow has conceded goals in 86% of their last 28 outings.

These sides typically produce 3.60 goals when they meet.

Pogon Siedlce found the back of the net in 65% of recent matches (26 games).

Solid form: Pogon Siedlce remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Siedlce VS S. Rzeszow
1.25 Goals Scored 1.5
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.75
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon Siedlce

(Home)
09 Oct
Podbeskidzie
1 : 0
Pogon Siedlce
20 Sept
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 1
Arka Gdynia
12 Sept
Chrobry Glogow
0 : 0
Pogon Siedlce
01 Sept
Kluczevia Stargard
2 : 3
Pogon Siedlce
29 Aug
Pogon Siedlce
2 : 0
Stal Mielec
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S. Rzeszow

(Away)
02 Oct
MFK Karvina
1 : 1
S. Rzeszow
19 Sept
Legnica
2 : 3
S. Rzeszow
13 Sept
Odra Opole
0 : 1
S. Rzeszow
05 Sept
S. Rzeszow
2 : 1
Polonia Warszawa
01 Sept
S. Rzeszow
3 : 0
Podbeskidzie
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki 9 5 3 1 15:8 18
2 Termalica Bruk-Bet 9 5 1 3 14:12 16
3 Warta Poznan 9 5 0 4 17:13 15
4 LKS Lodz 9 4 3 2 13:9 15
5 Legnica 9 4 2 3 14:9 14
6 Polonia Warszawa 9 4 2 3 15:12 14
7 S. Rzeszow 9 4 2 3 10:15 14
8 Lechia Gdansk 9 4 1 4 17:15 13
9 Chrobry Glogow 9 3 3 3 11:8 12
10 Pogon Siedlce 9 3 3 3 9:8 12
11 Ruch Chorzow 9 3 3 3 9:11 12
12 Arka Gdynia 9 3 2 4 11:11 11
13 Podbeskidzie 10 1 8 1 13:14 11
14 Unia Skierniewice 9 3 1 5 10:15 10
15 Odra Opole 9 2 3 4 7:9 9
16 Polonia Bytom 9 1 6 2 14:17 9
17 Stal Mielec 9 2 3 4 14:23 9
18 Puszcza 8 2 0 6 8:12 6
Promotion - Ekstraklasa 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)