Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Kolbuszowa Dolna

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Wiktor B.
31' Event
Majda O.
34' Event
Majda O.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 game between Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow and Kolbuszowa Dolna finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
22%
Draws
60%
Kolbuszowa Dolna
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Kolbuszowa Dolna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Kolbuszowa Dolna come out ahead of Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Kolbuszowa Dolna's way, sitting at 60%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Clean Sheet 20%
Kolbuszowa Dolna Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Kolbuszowa Dolna
Matches Played 27 27
Wins 10 13
Draws 8 4
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 1.75 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 4, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Kolbuszowa Dolna
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Kolbuszowa Dolna vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Compare

Top Goalscorer Majda O.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.35
Avg xA / game 0.88

Kolbuszowa Dolna Compare

Top Goalscorer Wiktor B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 20 / 100
Kolbuszowa Dolna 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Kolbuszowa Dolna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick KOL Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow scored in 78% of their last 27 games.

Defensive concern: Kolbuszowa Dolna conceded in 70% of 27 recent games.

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow VS Kolbuszowa Dolna
1.75 Goals Scored 1.5
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 50%
63% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

(Home)
25 Jul
Hetman Zamosc
2 : 2
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
11 Jul
Hutnik Krakow
3 : 1
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
08 Jul
Wisloka Debica
1 : 1
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
29 May
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
3 : 1
Star Starachowice
23 May
Wisla II
3 : 1
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
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Kolbuszowa Dolna

(Away)
24 Jul
Kolbuszowa Dolna
2 : 1
Czarni Polaniec
18 Jul
Wisloka Debica
1 : 2
Kolbuszowa Dolna
11 Jul
Jaroslaw
1 : 1
Kolbuszowa Dolna
30 May
Swidniczanka Swidnik
0 : 1
Kolbuszowa Dolna
22 May
Kolbuszowa Dolna
2 : 0
Wislanie Skawina
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Avia Swidnik34238384:3577
2Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski34228466:3074
3Chelmianka Chelm34219465:3172
4Korona Kielce II341841266:5958
5Star Starachowice341510951:4355
6Czarni Polaniec341651359:4953
7Biala Podlaska3414101060:4852
8Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow341491161:4551
9Wislanie Skawina341561352:5151
10Wisla II341541567:5849
11Wisloka Debica3412121037:3548
12Siarka Tarnobrzeg3411101359:5243
13Naprzod Jedrzejow341151845:5538
14Kolbuszowa Dolna341141936:5437
15Stal Krasnik34971842:5234
16Cracovia II34961944:7133
17Swidniczanka Swidnik34542535:8019
18Sparta Kazimierza Wielka34412929:11013
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)