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Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Kolbuszowa Dolna - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group IV
Our Tip

Match Events

58' Event
Zych J.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group IV game between Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow and Kolbuszowa Dolna finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kolbuszowa Dolna.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

24%
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
35%
Draws
41%
Kolbuszowa Dolna
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Kolbuszowa Dolna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

41% / Low Confidence
  • Kolbuszowa Dolna carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 41% — that's where the model lands on Kolbuszowa Dolna taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Clean Sheet 20%
Kolbuszowa Dolna Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Kolbuszowa Dolna
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 8 13
Draws 7 11
Losses 14 7
Goals Scored 1.41 1.32
Goals Conceded 1.55 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Kolbuszowa Dolna
0:1
Apr 4, 2026 III Liga - Group IV
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Kolbuszowa Dolna
2:1
Sep 14, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Kolbuszowa Dolna vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
2:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Compare

Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Kolbuszowa Dolna Compare

Top Goalscorer Zych J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 28 / 100
Kolbuszowa Dolna 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Kolbuszowa Dolna

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Kolbuszowa Dolna Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.33 goals when they meet.

Defensive concern: Kolbuszowa Dolna conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow VS Kolbuszowa Dolna
1.25 Goals Scored 1.13
2 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 25%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

(Home)
10 Oct
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
1 : 1
KS Wieczysta Krakow II
02 Oct
Wisloka Debica
2 : 1
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
26 Sept
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
0 : 1
Kolbuszowa Dolna
19 Sept
Jaroslaw
5 : 2
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
12 Sept
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
2 : 1
Busko-Zdroj
Page 1 of 6

Kolbuszowa Dolna

(Away)
03 Oct
Kolbuszowa Dolna
2 : 2
Moravia Morawica
26 Sept
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
0 : 1
Kolbuszowa Dolna
20 Sept
Kolbuszowa Dolna
1 : 1
Wislanie Skawina
12 Sept
Korona Kielce II
2 : 2
Kolbuszowa Dolna
04 Sept
Kolbuszowa Dolna
0 : 0
Star Starachowice
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chelmianka Chelm 12 9 3 0 20:6 30
2 Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski 12 6 5 1 21:9 23
3 Wisloka Debica 12 7 2 3 16:13 23
4 Wislanie Skawina 12 6 2 4 19:12 20
5 Naprzod Jedrzejow 11 6 2 3 27:21 20
6 Czarni Polaniec 11 6 2 3 18:16 20
7 Jaroslaw 12 5 2 5 28:22 17
8 Wisla II 12 4 4 4 15:17 16
9 Korona Kielce II 12 4 2 6 27:27 14
10 Siarka Tarnobrzeg 12 4 2 6 15:19 14
11 Hetman Zamosc 11 3 5 3 20:20 14
12 Busko-Zdroj 12 4 2 6 17:26 14
13 Kolbuszowa Dolna 11 2 7 2 12:12 13
14 Biala Podlaska 12 3 3 6 10:17 12
15 KS Wieczysta Krakow II 12 3 3 6 11:15 12
16 Star Starachowice 12 2 5 5 14:19 11
17 Moravia Morawica 12 2 3 7 13:22 9
18 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 12 2 2 8 12:22 8
Promotion - Division 2 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 (Relegation - Play Offs)