Sport Picks

Poland

III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

2 - 0

Stal Krasnik

Our Tip

Match Events

52'

Chelmecki K.

70'

Zbroinski B.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow in this III Liga - Group IV 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

17%

Draws

70%

Stal Krasnik

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Stal Krasnik

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence

Form's been kind to Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow lately — more wins on the board than Stal Krasnik.
Win probability leans Stal Krasnik's way, sitting at 70%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 94%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Clean Sheet 20%

Stal Krasnik Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow	Stal Krasnik
Matches Played	27	29
Wins	10	7
Draws	7	6
Losses	10	16
Goals Scored	1.88	1.63
Goals Conceded	1.5	0.75
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 21, 2026 III Liga - Group IV

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Stal Krasnik

Possession: 48% - 54% Cards: 2 - 1

2:0

Aug 31, 2025 III Liga - Group IV

Stal Krasnik vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow

Possession: 48% - 50% Cards: 3 - 4

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Compare

Top Goalscorer Chelmecki K.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Zbroinski B.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Stal Krasnik Compare

Avg xG / game 1.48

Avg xA / game 0.91

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 16 / 100

Stal Krasnik 65 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Stal Krasnik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick STA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Stal Krasnik has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow's goal record stands at 74% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow VS Stal Krasnik

1.88 Goals Scored 1.63

1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75

100% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 38%

63% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Avia Swidnik	34	23	8	3	84:35	77
2	Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski	34	22	8	4	66:30	74
3	Chelmianka Chelm	34	21	9	4	65:31	72
4	Korona Kielce II	34	18	4	12	66:59	58
5	Star Starachowice	34	15	10	9	51:43	55
6	Czarni Polaniec	34	16	5	13	59:49	53
7	Biala Podlaska	34	14	10	10	60:48	52
8	Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow	34	14	9	11	61:45	51
9	Wislanie Skawina	34	15	6	13	52:51	51
10	Wisla II	34	15	4	15	67:58	49
11	Wisloka Debica	34	12	12	10	37:35	48
12	Siarka Tarnobrzeg	34	11	10	13	59:52	43
13	Naprzod Jedrzejow	34	11	5	18	45:55	38
14	Kolbuszowa Dolna	34	11	4	19	36:54	37
15	Stal Krasnik	34	9	7	18	42:52	34
16	Cracovia II	34	9	6	19	44:71	33
17	Swidniczanka Swidnik	34	5	4	25	35:80	19
18	Sparta Kazimierza Wielka	34	4	1	29	29:110	13