Sport Picks
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Unia Tarnow Prediction & H2H Stats
Poland
III Liga - Group IV 2024/2025 
Match Events
47'
47'
Majda O.
54'
54'
Guedes L.
54'
54'
Guedes L.
AI Match Summary
The III Liga - Group IV 2024/2025 game between Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow and Unia Tarnow finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Unia Tarnow haven't matched Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow's way, sitting at 60%.
- Regular III Liga - Group IV 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 3 times recently and Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 81.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 37%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Clean Sheet 20%
Unia Tarnow Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | Unia Tarnow |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 33 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 2 |
| Draws | 6 | 4 |
| Losses | 14 | 23 |
| Goals Scored | 1.64 | 0.79 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.52 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 7, 2025 III Liga - Group IV
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Unia Tarnow
3:0
Feb 19, 2025 Club Friendly
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow vs Unia Tarnow
2:0
Nov 16, 2024 III Liga - Group IV
Unia Tarnow vs Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
0:3
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Compare
Top Goalscorer Majda O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Imiela A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6
Unia Tarnow Compare
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow 58 / 100
Unia Tarnow 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Unia Tarnow
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Unia Tarnow let in goals in 93% of their last 29 matches.
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow scored in 79% of their last 33 games.
Games between these two average 2.67 goals.
Unia Tarnow lost 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow VS Unia Tarnow
1.5 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 5
75% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 100%
63% Over 3.5 100%
Recent Form & Match History
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
(Home) 26 Sept
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
0 : 1 Kolbuszowa Dolna
19 Sept
Jaroslaw
5 : 2 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
12 Sept
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
2 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
05 Sept
Czarni Polaniec
3 : 0 Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
29 Aug
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
4 : 2 Hetman Zamosc
Page 1 of 7
26 Sept
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
0 : 1 Kolbuszowa Dolna
12 Sept
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
2 : 1 Busko-Zdroj
29 Aug
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
4 : 2 Hetman Zamosc
19 Aug
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
1 : 1 Wisla II
08 Aug
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
0 : 2 Moravia Morawica
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Unia Tarnow
(Away) 20 Jun
Unia Tarnow
0 : 5 Termalica Bruk-Bet
07 Jun
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
3 : 0 Unia Tarnow
30 May
Unia Tarnow
1 : 2 Podhale Nowy Targ
25 May
Unia Tarnow
3 : 0 Chelmianka Chelm
21 May
Korona Kielce II
4 : 2 Unia Tarnow
Page 1 of 6
07 Jun
Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow
3 : 0 Unia Tarnow
21 May
Korona Kielce II
4 : 2 Unia Tarnow
10 May
Swidniczanka Swidnik
1 : 1 Unia Tarnow
26 Apr
Siarka Tarnobrzeg
4 : 1 Unia Tarnow
12 Apr
Lewart Lubartow
3 : 0 Unia Tarnow
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sandecja Nowy S. | 34 | 22 | 8 | 4 | 65:31 | 74 |
| 2 | Podhale Nowy Targ | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 67:43 | 68 |
| 3 | Siarka Tarnobrzeg | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 76:42 | 65 |
| 4 | Ostrowiec Swietokrzyski | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 55:40 | 63 |
| 5 | Avia Swidnik | 34 | 18 | 8 | 8 | 77:44 | 62 |
| 6 | Korona Kielce II | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 71:50 | 61 |
| 7 | Star Starachowice | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 61:46 | 55 |
| 8 | Biala Podlaska | 34 | 15 | 8 | 11 | 59:42 | 53 |
| 9 | Chelmianka Chelm | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 74:62 | 53 |
| 10 | Wisloka Debica | 34 | 14 | 4 | 16 | 61:55 | 46 |
| 11 | Czarni Polaniec | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 52:64 | 41 |
| 12 | Wisla II | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 72:60 | 41 |
| 13 | Swidniczanka Swidnik | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 44:54 | 39 |
| 14 | Wislanie Skawina | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 41:60 | 39 |
| 15 | Pogon-Sokol Lubaczow | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 50:68 | 37 |
| 16 | Wiazownica | 34 | 7 | 9 | 18 | 38:70 | 30 |
| 17 | Lewart Lubartow | 34 | 5 | 4 | 25 | 31:85 | 19 |
| 18 | Unia Tarnow | 34 | 2 | 4 | 28 | 28:106 | 10 |
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2024/2025 (Relegation - Play Offs)
