Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pogon Szczecin II vs Kluczevia Stargard

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

51' Event
Kaczorek M.
68' Event
Fraczczak A.
70' Event
Osowski M.

AI Match Summary

Pogon Szczecin II host Kluczevia Stargard in the III Liga - Group II 2025/2026. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Kluczevia Stargard have shipped 1.75 goals a game lately, while Pogon Szczecin II have conceded 1.5 and scored 1.88. Head-to-head, Pogon Szczecin II have won 3 to Kluczevia Stargard's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on May 9, 2026, ending 2:1. The numbers (1.81 xG vs 1.44) point toward Kluczevia Stargard. Kluczevia Stargard in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pogon Szczecin II
6%
Draws
4%
Kluczevia Stargard
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pogon Szczecin II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Kluczevia Stargard has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Pogon Szczecin II.
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for Pogon Szczecin II.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 86%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 86%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Pogon Szczecin II Clean Sheet 16%
Kluczevia Stargard Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Szczecin II Kluczevia Stargard
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 12
Draws 4 4
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 1.88 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Pogon Szczecin II vs Kluczevia Stargard
2:1
Oct 19, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Kluczevia Stargard vs Pogon Szczecin II
3:0
Mar 26, 2022 III Liga - Group II
Kluczevia Stargard vs Pogon Szczecin II
0:1
Aug 22, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Pogon Szczecin II vs Kluczevia Stargard
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Szczecin II Compare

Top Goalscorer Fraczczak A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Osowski M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Kluczevia Stargard Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaczorek M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Szczecin II 84 / 100
Kluczevia Stargard 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Szczecin II Kluczevia Stargard

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pogon Szczecin II scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

Kluczevia Stargard let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Pogon Szczecin II went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Kluczevia Stargard lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Szczecin II VS Kluczevia Stargard
1.88 Goals Scored 1.38
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
38% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415