Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pogon Szczecin II vs Lech Poznan II

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Fraczczak A.
12' Event
Prajsnar P.
41' Event
Delikat K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pogon Szczecin II
6%
Draws
4%
Lech Poznan II
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pogon Szczecin II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Lech Poznan II lately — more wins on the board than Pogon Szczecin II.
  • Pogon Szczecin II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Pogon Szczecin II Clean Sheet 15%
Lech Poznan II Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Szczecin II Lech Poznan II
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 10 11
Draws 4 6
Losses 14 12
Goals Scored 3.75 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 3.75 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Pogon Szczecin II vs Lech Poznan II
2:2
Oct 4, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Pogon Szczecin II
3:1
May 21, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Pogon Szczecin II vs Lech Poznan II
1:1
Oct 26, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Lech Poznan II vs Pogon Szczecin II
4:2
May 1, 2019 III Liga - Group II
Pogon Szczecin II vs Lech Poznan II
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Szczecin II Compare

Top Goalscorer Fraczczak A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bartkowiak M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.88
Avg xA / game 1.88

Lech Poznan II Compare

Top Goalscorer Prajsnar P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Delikat K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Szczecin II 84 / 100
Lech Poznan II 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Szczecin II Lech Poznan II

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Pogon Szczecin II remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Pogon Szczecin II found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (28 games).

Lech Poznan II let in goals in 79% of their last 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Szczecin II VS Lech Poznan II
3.75 Goals Scored 1.88
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon Szczecin II

(Home)
30 May
Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal
1 : 4
Pogon Szczecin II
24 May
Pogon Szczecin II
13 : 1
Wda Swiecie
17 May
Swinoujscie
1 : 2
Pogon Szczecin II
13 May
Pogon Szczecin II
4 : 0
Elana Torun
09 May
Pogon Szczecin II
2 : 1
Kluczevia Stargard
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Lech Poznan II

(Away)
18 Jul
Lech Poznan II
3 : 0
Zaglebie II
30 May
Lech Poznan II
1 : 2
Victoria Wrzesnia
23 May
Nowe Skalmierzyce
3 : 0
Lech Poznan II
17 May
Lech Poznan II
2 : 4
Zawisza
13 May
Tluchowo
3 : 1
Lech Poznan II
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415
Promotion - Division 2 (Main)
Promotion - Division 2 2025/2026 (Relegation - Play Offs)