Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Pogon Szczecin II vs Luzino

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

25' Event
Sosnowski F.
38' Event
Koniuszy M.
68' Event
Fraczczak A.

AI Match Summary

The III Liga - Group II 2025/2026 game between Pogon Szczecin II and Luzino finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Luzino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pogon Szczecin II
6%
Draws
4%
Luzino
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pogon Szczecin II

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Luzino carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Pogon Szczecin II are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 81%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 81%
Over 3.5 Goals 54.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Pogon Szczecin II Clean Sheet 11%
Luzino Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Szczecin II Luzino
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 10 20
Draws 4 1
Losses 15 7
Goals Scored 4.29 2.38
Goals Conceded 1.29 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 4.29 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.29 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 III Liga - Group II
Pogon Szczecin II vs Luzino
1:2
Sep 7, 2025 III Liga - Group II
Luzino vs Pogon Szczecin II
6:0
May 15, 2024 III Liga - Group II
Luzino vs Pogon Szczecin II
0:0
Oct 22, 2023 III Liga - Group II
Pogon Szczecin II vs Luzino
5:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Szczecin II Compare

Top Goalscorer Fraczczak A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 3.3
Avg xA / game 2.15

Luzino Compare

Top Goalscorer Sosnowski F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Koniuszy M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Szczecin II 83 / 100
Luzino 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Szczecin II Luzino

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 3.75 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Pogon Szczecin II stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Pogon Szczecin II found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Luzino let in goals in 68% of their last 28 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Szczecin II VS Luzino
4.29 Goals Scored 2.38
1.29 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
71% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Zawisza34255473:2380
2Luzino34244679:3976
3Polonia Sroda Wielkopol34206867:4366
4Lipno Steszew341561347:5451
5Notec Czarnkow341471349:4649
6Lech Poznan II341471367:5449
7Elana Torun341471349:5549
8Swinoujscie341471348:5249
9Wda Swiecie341461444:6648
10Unia Swarzedz341381347:4147
11Kluczevia Stargard341371454:4346
12Blekitni Stargard341291356:5145
13Victoria Wrzesnia341331841:4642
14Pogon Szczecin II341251775:6641
15Nowe Skalmierzyce341091535:4639
16Cartusia Kartuzy341151838:5138
17Tluchowo34871937:6631
18Wybrzeze Rewalskie Rewal34362520:8415