Sport Picks
Pogon Szczecin vs Arka Gdynia
Poland
Ekstraklasa 2025/2026 Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera 
AI Match Summary
Pogon Szczecin play Arka Gdynia in the Ekstraklasa 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Pogon Szczecin averaged 1.38 goals scored and 1.15 conceded. Arka Gdynia averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.66 conceded. In past meetings, Pogon Szczecin won 1, Arka Gdynia won 2, and they drew 2. Their last match on Feb 15, 2026 ended 1:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.75 for Pogon Szczecin and 0.94 for Arka Gdynia. This points to a Pogon Szczecin double chance or over markets.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Pogon Szczecin picked up more points recently compared to Arka Gdynia.
- Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.75 vs 0.94 xG).
- Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pogon Szczecin | Arka Gdynia |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 29 |
| Wins | 11 | 10 |
| Draws | 5 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.38 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.15 | 1.66 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.13 | 2.00 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pogon Szczecin Compare
Arka Gdynia Compare
Sokapicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Value Bet Detector (+EV)
Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds
Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations
Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries
Sokapicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pogon Szczecin scored in 77% of their last 26 games.
Arka Gdynia let in goals in 76% of their last 29 matches.
Games between these two average 2.40 goals.
Pogon Szczecin went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Arka Gdynia lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Interactive Team Comparison Slider
Side-by-side comparison of team metrics
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lech Poznan | 34 | 16 | 12 | 6 | 62:45 | 60 |
| 2 | Gornik Zabrze | 34 | 16 | 8 | 10 | 50:38 | 56 |
| 3 | Jagiellonia | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 56:41 | 56 |
| 4 | Rakow Czestochowa | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 51:40 | 55 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51:45 | 50 |
| 6 | Legia | 34 | 12 | 13 | 9 | 42:37 | 49 |
| 7 | Zaglebie | 34 | 13 | 9 | 12 | 45:38 | 48 |
| 8 | Wisla Plock | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 34:38 | 46 |
| 9 | Pogon Szczecin | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 47:49 | 45 |
| 10 | Radomiak Radom | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 52:53 | 44 |
| 11 | Korona Kielce | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 40:40 | 43 |
| 12 | Motor Lublin | 34 | 10 | 13 | 11 | 46:53 | 43 |
| 13 | Cracovia | 34 | 9 | 15 | 10 | 39:42 | 42 |
| 14 | Widzew Lodz | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 41:41 | 42 |
| 15 | Piast Gliwice | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 42:46 | 41 |
| 16 | Lechia Gdansk | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 62:65 | 38 |
| 17 | Arka Gdynia | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 34:61 | 36 |
| 18 | Termalica Bruk-Bet | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 43:65 | 34 |