Sport Picks
Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Ekstraklasa Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin 
Match Events
20'
20'
Riccio A.
21'
21'
Garcia O.
36'
36'
Wojciechowski M.
AI Match Summary
Pogon Szczecin in this Ekstraklasa matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pogon Szczecin.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pogon Szczecin
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Pogon Szczecin have won more games recently than Korona Kielce.
- Model gives Pogon Szczecin a 37% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Pogon Szczecin Clean Sheet 20%
Korona Kielce Clean Sheet 15%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pogon Szczecin | Korona Kielce |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 9 |
| Losses | 10 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.14 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.06 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 16, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce
2:1
Sep 13, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Pogon Szczecin
1:0
Dec 9, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Pogon Szczecin
0:0
Jul 20, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin vs Korona Kielce
3:0
Mar 17, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Korona Kielce vs Pogon Szczecin
2:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pogon Szczecin Compare
Top Goalscorer Wojciechowski M.
1 Goals Assists Leader Mukairu P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Korona Kielce Compare
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pogon Szczecin 85 / 100
Korona Kielce 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pogon Szczecin Korona Kielce
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pogon Szczecin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Pogon Szczecin's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.
Korona Kielce has conceded goals in 71% of their last 28 outings.
Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.
Recent resilience: Pogon Szczecin stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pogon Szczecin VS Korona Kielce
1.13 Goals Scored 1.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Pogon Szczecin
(Home) 26 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1 Udinese
20 Sept
Piast Gliwice
1 : 2 Pogon Szczecin
13 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 0 KS Wieczysta Krakow
07 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1 Wisla Plock
03 Sept
Slask Wroclaw
2 : 1 Pogon Szczecin
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1 Udinese
13 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 0 KS Wieczysta Krakow
07 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1 Wisla Plock
23 Aug
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 2 Wisla
08 Aug
Pogon Szczecin
3 : 1 Motor Lublin
Page 1 of 3
Korona Kielce
(Away) 03 Oct
Legia
5 : 1 Korona Kielce
19 Sept
Korona Kielce
3 : 2 Rakow Czestochowa
15 Sept
Korona Kielce
0 : 2 Gornik Zabrze
12 Sept
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 2 Korona Kielce
05 Sept
Korona Kielce
1 : 1 Wisla
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Legia
5 : 1 Korona Kielce
12 Sept
Slask Wroclaw
1 : 2 Korona Kielce
02 Sept
Widzew Lodz
0 : 1 Korona Kielce
28 Aug
Wisla Plock
0 : 2 Korona Kielce
15 Aug
Widzew Lodz
1 : 2 Korona Kielce
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19:9 | 25 |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Legia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19:8 | 19 |
| 4 | Wisla | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Pogon Szczecin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 7 | Korona Kielce | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Zaglebie | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | 15 |
| 9 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:15 | 13 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 12 | Wisla Plock | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 11 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 9 |
| 14 | KS Wieczysta Krakow | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14:17 | 8 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:20 | 8 |
| 16 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | 6 |
| 17 | Slask Wroclaw | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12:19 | 6 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13:25 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
