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Pogon Szczecin vs Leczna

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Club Friendly 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Keramitsis D.
26' Event
Kryeziu E.
77' Event
Stanowski K.

AI Match Summary

The Club Friendly 2025 game between Pogon Szczecin and Leczna finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pogon Szczecin.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Pogon Szczecin
44%
Draws
20%
Leczna
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pogon Szczecin come out ahead of Leczna on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Club Friendly 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Pogon Szczecin Clean Sheet 20%
Leczna Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Szczecin Leczna
Matches Played 30 26
Wins 13 8
Draws 6 7
Losses 11 11
Goals Scored 1.5 0.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 4, 2025 Club Friendly
Pogon Szczecin vs Leczna
2:1
Apr 2, 2022 Ekstraklasa
Leczna vs Pogon Szczecin
0:4
Oct 3, 2021 Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin vs Leczna
4:1
Mar 12, 2017 Ekstraklasa
Leczna vs Pogon Szczecin
2:2
Sep 24, 2016 Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin vs Leczna
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Szczecin Compare

Top Goalscorer Keramitsis D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Stanowski K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Leczna Compare

Top Goalscorer Kryeziu E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Szczecin 36 / 100
Leczna 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Szczecin Leczna

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GOR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.60 goals.

Pogon Szczecin found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (30 games).

Leczna has conceded goals in 77% of their last 26 outings.

Leczna's recent record shows 4 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Szczecin VS Leczna
1.5 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%