Sport Picks
Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Poland
Ekstraklasa Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin 
Match Events
17'
17'
Churlinov D.
43'
43'
Szalai At.
Assist: Wahlqvist L.
57'
57'
Sub
Wojciechowski M. In: Acosta K.
Out: Wojciechowski M.
AI Match Summary
Pogon Szczecin in this Ekstraklasa matchup, with the score ending 3-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pogon Szczecin.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
47%
30%
23%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pogon Szczecin
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
47%
/ Medium Confidence
- Pogon Szczecin have won more games recently than Motor Lublin.
- 47% — that's where the model lands on Pogon Szczecin taking it.
- Regular Ekstraklasa form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Pogon Szczecin Clean Sheet 20%
Motor Lublin Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pogon Szczecin | Motor Lublin |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 12 | 11 |
| Draws | 6 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.25 | 1.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.11 | 1.36 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 8, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin
3:1
Feb 1, 2026 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin vs Pogon Szczecin
2:1
Jul 26, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin
4:1
May 14, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin vs Motor Lublin
3:0
Nov 2, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Motor Lublin vs Pogon Szczecin
4:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pogon Szczecin Compare
Top Goalscorer Churlinov D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Szalai At.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75
Motor Lublin Compare
Top Goalscorer Aiko M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Pogon Szczecin 40 / 100
Motor Lublin 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Pogon Szczecin Motor Lublin
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Pogon Szczecin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.
Attacking prowess: Pogon Szczecin scored in 75% of their last 28 outings.
Motor Lublin let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.
Recent resilience: Pogon Szczecin stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Pogon Szczecin VS Motor Lublin
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Pogon Szczecin
(Home) 26 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1 Udinese
20 Sept
Piast Gliwice
1 : 2 Pogon Szczecin
13 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 0 KS Wieczysta Krakow
07 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1 Wisla Plock
03 Sept
Slask Wroclaw
2 : 1 Pogon Szczecin
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1 Udinese
13 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 0 KS Wieczysta Krakow
07 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1 Wisla Plock
23 Aug
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 2 Wisla
08 Aug
Pogon Szczecin
3 : 1 Motor Lublin
Page 1 of 3
Motor Lublin
(Away) 19 Sept
Motor Lublin
0 : 0 Gornik Zabrze
11 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 1 Motor Lublin
05 Sept
Motor Lublin
2 : 3 Legia
01 Sept
Motor Lublin
3 : 0 Legia
29 Aug
Motor Lublin
0 : 2 Piast Gliwice
Page 1 of 6
11 Sept
Rakow Czestochowa
2 : 1 Motor Lublin
22 Aug
Korona Kielce
1 : 1 Motor Lublin
08 Aug
Pogon Szczecin
3 : 1 Motor Lublin
26 Jul
Widzew Lodz
2 : 2 Motor Lublin
23 May
Legia
4 : 0 Motor Lublin
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Gornik Zabrze | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 19:9 | 25 |
| 2 | Lech Poznan | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 21:8 | 22 |
| 3 | Legia | 9 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 19:8 | 19 |
| 4 | Wisla | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 5 | GKS Katowice | 9 | 5 | 0 | 4 | 20:14 | 15 |
| 6 | Pogon Szczecin | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 12:6 | 15 |
| 7 | Korona Kielce | 9 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 12:10 | 15 |
| 8 | Zaglebie | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12:13 | 15 |
| 9 | Piast Gliwice | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 16:15 | 13 |
| 10 | Jagiellonia | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 13:16 | 12 |
| 11 | Cracovia | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 12:15 | 11 |
| 12 | Wisla Plock | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:15 | 11 |
| 13 | Widzew Lodz | 9 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 13:13 | 9 |
| 14 | KS Wieczysta Krakow | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 14:17 | 8 |
| 15 | Radomiak Radom | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7:20 | 8 |
| 16 | Motor Lublin | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 9:15 | 6 |
| 17 | Slask Wroclaw | 10 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12:19 | 6 |
| 18 | Rakow Czestochowa | 10 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 13:25 | 3 |
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)
