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Stadium Background

Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Poland Poland

Ekstraklasa Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin
Sat, Oct 24, 2026
VS
03:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pogon Szczecin host Radomiak Radom in the Ekstraklasa. Form suggests where the edge lies here. Recent numbers: Pogon Szczecin at 1.29 goals for, 1.11 against; Radomiak Radom at 1.38 for, 2.07 against. Head-to-head, Pogon Szczecin have won 1 to Radomiak Radom's 3, with 1 draws. They last met on Dec 6, 2025, ending 2:2. Model xG sits at 1.31 vs 1.13, favoring Pogon Szczecin. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Pogon Szczecin
30%
Draws
19%
Radomiak Radom
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Pogon Szczecin

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pogon Szczecin lately — more wins on the board than Radomiak Radom.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Pogon Szczecin taking it.
  • Regular Ekstraklasa form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Pogon Szczecin Clean Sheet 20%
Radomiak Radom Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Szczecin Radomiak Radom
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 8
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 16
Goals Scored 1.29 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.11 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 1.31 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 6, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom
2:2
Jul 20, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Radomiak Radom vs Pogon Szczecin
5:1
May 10, 2025 Ekstraklasa
Radomiak Radom vs Pogon Szczecin
2:0
Nov 8, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Pogon Szczecin vs Radomiak Radom
0:1
Feb 16, 2024 Ekstraklasa
Radomiak Radom vs Pogon Szczecin
0:4

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Szczecin 67 / 100
Radomiak Radom 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Szczecin Radomiak Radom

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pogon Szczecin Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Radomiak Radom let in goals in 83% of their last 29 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Pogon Szczecin went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Pogon Szczecin scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Szczecin VS Radomiak Radom
1.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon Szczecin

(Home)
11 Oct
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 0
Korona Kielce
26 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1
Udinese
20 Sept
Piast Gliwice
1 : 2
Pogon Szczecin
13 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
2 : 0
KS Wieczysta Krakow
07 Sept
Pogon Szczecin
1 : 1
Wisla Plock
Page 1 of 6

Radomiak Radom

(Away)
12 Oct
Radomiak Radom
2 : 3
Motor Lublin
02 Oct
Radomiak Radom
7 : 2
Pogon Grodzisk Mazowiecki
20 Sept
Lech Poznan
5 : 1
Radomiak Radom
14 Sept
Radomiak Radom
0 : 2
Piast Gliwice
05 Sept
Widzew Lodz
0 : 0
Radomiak Radom
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Gornik Zabrze 10 8 1 1 19:9 25
2 Lech Poznan 9 7 1 1 21:8 22
3 Legia 10 6 4 0 21:8 22
4 Pogon Szczecin 9 5 3 1 14:6 18
5 GKS Katowice 10 6 0 4 22:15 18
6 Wisla 11 5 3 3 17:14 18
7 Piast Gliwice 10 5 1 4 18:16 16
8 Korona Kielce 10 4 3 3 12:12 15
9 Zaglebie 10 4 3 3 12:13 15
10 Jagiellonia 9 4 0 5 13:16 12
11 Cracovia 10 3 2 5 12:15 11
12 Wisla Plock 9 3 2 4 9:15 11
13 Widzew Lodz 11 1 7 3 14:15 10
14 Motor Lublin 10 2 3 5 12:17 9
15 KS Wieczysta Krakow 11 2 2 7 16:21 8
16 Radomiak Radom 10 2 2 6 9:23 8
17 Slask Wroclaw 10 1 3 6 12:19 6
18 Rakow Czestochowa 11 2 0 9 15:26 6
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division 1 2027/2028 (Main)