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Stadium Background

Pogon Szczecin W vs AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Choi D.
59' Event
Swirska L.
61' Event
Radochonska Z.

AI Match Summary

The Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 game between Pogon Szczecin W and AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pogon Szczecin W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Pogon Szczecin W
20%
Draws
38%
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pogon Szczecin W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pogon Szczecin W come out ahead of AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W on wins alone.
  • Pogon Szczecin W are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • History favors Pogon Szczecin W here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Pogon Szczecin W Clean Sheet 20%
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Szczecin W AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
Matches Played 34 33
Wins 23 16
Draws 4 2
Losses 7 15
Goals Scored 2.75 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.13 2.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 2.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Szczecin W vs AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
3:0
Aug 17, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W vs Pogon Szczecin W
0:0
May 25, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Szczecin W vs AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
1:0
Nov 10, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W vs Pogon Szczecin W
2:3
Mar 9, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W vs Pogon Szczecin W
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Szczecin W Compare

Top Goalscorer Choi D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Swirska L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Szczecin W 42 / 100
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Szczecin W AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pogon Szczecin W scored in 85% of their last 34 games.

AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 67% of 33 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Pogon Szczecin W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Szczecin W VS AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
2.75 Goals Scored 0.88
1.13 Goals Conceded 2.38
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon Szczecin W

(Home)
17 Jul
RB Leipzig W
9 : 0
Pogon Szczecin W
30 May
Pogon Szczecin W
1 : 0
Slask Wroclaw W
23 May
Leczna W
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin W
09 May
Pogon Tczew W
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin W
02 May
Pogon Szczecin W
2 : 2
Czarni Sosnowiec W
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AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W

(Away)
18 Jul
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
0 : 3
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
30 May
GKS Katowice W
3 : 0
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
24 May
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
2 : 1
Lech-UAM Poznan W
09 May
UJ Krakow W
2 : 0
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
02 May
AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W
1 : 3
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Czarni Sosnowiec W22182268:1856
2Pogon Szczecin W22163360:1851
3GKS Katowice W22153451:2648
4Leczna W22152549:2047
5UKS SMS Lodz W2285935:3529
6Rekord Bielsko-Biala W22841029:3428
7Slask Wroclaw W22821239:3326
8Lech-UAM Poznan W22751029:4626
9UJ Krakow W22661026:3724
10AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22721324:4523
11Stomilanki Olsztyn W22321723:7011
12Pogon Tczew W22141715:667
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)