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Pogon Szczecin W vs Pogon Tczew W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Yosue S.
86' Event
Poluhovica A.
90' Event
Rybinska Z.

AI Match Summary

Pogon Szczecin W in this Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pogon Szczecin W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
Pogon Szczecin W
6%
Draws
4%
Pogon Tczew W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Pogon Szczecin W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Pogon Tczew W haven't matched Pogon Szczecin W's recent run of results.
  • 90% — that's where the model lands on Pogon Szczecin W taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Pogon Szczecin W have won 5 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.400000000000002%
Pogon Szczecin W Clean Sheet 68%
Pogon Tczew W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Szczecin W Pogon Tczew W
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 20 4
Draws 4 5
Losses 5 21
Goals Scored 2.75 1.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 3
Expected Goals (xG) 2.75 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 3.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Tczew W vs Pogon Szczecin W
0:3
Oct 11, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Szczecin W vs Pogon Tczew W
3:0
Mar 19, 2025 Polish Cup Women
Pogon Tczew W vs Pogon Szczecin W
1:2
Mar 5, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Szczecin W vs Pogon Tczew W
2:0
Aug 18, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Tczew W vs Pogon Szczecin W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Szczecin W Compare

Top Goalscorer Yosue S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Poluhovica A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.38

Pogon Tczew W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Szczecin W 95 / 100
Pogon Tczew W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Szczecin W Pogon Tczew W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POG Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pogon Szczecin W found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Pogon Tczew W let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.80 goals per match.

Pogon Szczecin W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Szczecin W VS Pogon Tczew W
2.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon Szczecin W

(Home)
17 Jul
RB Leipzig W
9 : 0
Pogon Szczecin W
30 May
Pogon Szczecin W
1 : 0
Slask Wroclaw W
23 May
Leczna W
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin W
09 May
Pogon Tczew W
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin W
02 May
Pogon Szczecin W
2 : 2
Czarni Sosnowiec W
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Pogon Tczew W

(Away)
30 May
Pogon Tczew W
0 : 5
Leczna W
24 May
Pogon Tczew W
2 : 2
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
16 May
Slask Wroclaw W
0 : 2
Pogon Tczew W
09 May
Pogon Tczew W
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin W
03 May
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
5 : 1
Pogon Tczew W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Czarni Sosnowiec W22182268:1856
2Pogon Szczecin W22163360:1851
3GKS Katowice W22153451:2648
4Leczna W22152549:2047
5UKS SMS Lodz W2285935:3529
6Rekord Bielsko-Biala W22841029:3428
7Slask Wroclaw W22821239:3326
8Lech-UAM Poznan W22751029:4626
9UJ Krakow W22661026:3724
10AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22721324:4523
11Stomilanki Olsztyn W22321723:7011
12Pogon Tczew W22141715:667
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)