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Pogon Tczew W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W

Poland Poland

Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Miksone K.
16' Event
Sarapata P.
58' Event
Milek K.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

Czarni Sosnowiec W in this Ekstraliga Women 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 0-8 — backing the pre-match view that favored Czarni Sosnowiec W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Pogon Tczew W
6%
Draws
90%
Czarni Sosnowiec W
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Czarni Sosnowiec W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Czarni Sosnowiec W have won more games recently than Pogon Tczew W.
  • Win probability leans Czarni Sosnowiec W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • History favors Czarni Sosnowiec W here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Pogon Tczew W Clean Sheet 10%
Czarni Sosnowiec W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogon Tczew W Czarni Sosnowiec W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 4 24
Draws 5 2
Losses 21 4
Goals Scored 0.75 3
Goals Conceded 3.25 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 3.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.25 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Tczew W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W
0:8
Sep 27, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Czarni Sosnowiec W vs Pogon Tczew W
7:0
Mar 1, 2025 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Tczew W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W
0:5
Aug 11, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
Czarni Sosnowiec W vs Pogon Tczew W
5:0
Apr 27, 2024 Ekstraliga Women
Pogon Tczew W vs Czarni Sosnowiec W
0:7

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogon Tczew W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Czarni Sosnowiec W Compare

Top Goalscorer Milek K.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Sarapata P.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.73
Avg xA / game 1.67

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogon Tczew W 10 / 100
Czarni Sosnowiec W 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogon Tczew W Czarni Sosnowiec W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CZS Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 6.40 goals per match.

Defensive concern: Czarni Sosnowiec W conceded in 60% of 30 recent games.

Pogon Tczew W scored in 53% of their last 30 games.

Recent resilience: Pogon Tczew W stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pogon Tczew W VS Czarni Sosnowiec W
0.75 Goals Scored 3
3.25 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogon Tczew W

(Home)
30 May
Pogon Tczew W
0 : 5
Leczna W
24 May
Pogon Tczew W
2 : 2
Stomilanki Olsztyn W
16 May
Slask Wroclaw W
0 : 2
Pogon Tczew W
09 May
Pogon Tczew W
0 : 3
Pogon Szczecin W
03 May
Rekord Bielsko-Biala W
5 : 1
Pogon Tczew W
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Czarni Sosnowiec W

(Away)
25 Jul
Athlone W
1 : 3
Czarni Sosnowiec W
22 Jul
Czarni Sosnowiec W
7 : 1
WFC Lusso W
18 Jul
Slask Wroclaw W
2 : 5
Czarni Sosnowiec W
30 May
Czarni Sosnowiec W
3 : 2
UKS SMS Lodz W
23 May
Slask Wroclaw W
1 : 2
Czarni Sosnowiec W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Czarni Sosnowiec W22182268:1856
2Pogon Szczecin W22163360:1851
3GKS Katowice W22153451:2648
4Leczna W22152549:2047
5UKS SMS Lodz W2285935:3529
6Rekord Bielsko-Biala W22841029:3428
7Slask Wroclaw W22821239:3326
8Lech-UAM Poznan W22751029:4626
9UJ Krakow W22661026:3724
10AP 2010 ORLEN Gdansk W22721324:4523
11Stomilanki Olsztyn W22321723:7011
12Pogon Tczew W22141715:667
Promotion - Champions League Women (Qualification - First stage)