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Pogradeci vs Flamurtari - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë
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AI Match Summary

The Kategoria e Parë game between Pogradeci and Flamurtari finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Pogradeci
35%
Draws
23%
Flamurtari
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Pogradeci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Flamurtari haven't matched Pogradeci's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Pogradeci a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Pogradeci Clean Sheet 68%
Flamurtari Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogradeci Flamurtari
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 17 8
Draws 8 12
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 1.97 1.35
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.23
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 20, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Pogradeci vs Flamurtari
0:0
Mar 26, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Flamurtari vs Pogradeci
1:2
Jan 20, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Pogradeci vs Flamurtari
0:0
Oct 21, 2024 Kategoria e Parë
Flamurtari vs Pogradeci
4:0
Mar 24, 2021 Kategoria e Parë
Flamurtari vs Pogradeci
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogradeci 95 / 100
Flamurtari 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogradeci Flamurtari

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pogradeci Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pogradeci went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Attacking prowess: Pogradeci scored in 65% of their last 31 outings.

Flamurtari has conceded goals in 77% of their last 31 outings.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Scoring Trends

Pogradeci VS Flamurtari
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.88 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogradeci

(Home)
07 Oct
Pogradeci
7 : 0
Delvina
20 Sept
Pogradeci
0 : 0
Flamurtari
16 Sept
Kukesi
0 : 3
Pogradeci
12 Sept
Pogradeci
2 : 1
Kastrioti
05 Sept
Iliria Kruja
0 : 0
Pogradeci
Page 1 of 7

Flamurtari

(Away)
06 Oct
Flamurtari
4 : 1
Gramshi
20 Sept
Pogradeci
0 : 0
Flamurtari
16 Sept
Kastrioti
1 : 0
Flamurtari
11 Sept
Flamurtari
1 : 1
Burreli
06 Sept
Besa Kavaje
3 : 3
Flamurtari
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogradeci 4 2 2 0 5:1 8
2 Besa Kavaje 4 2 1 1 13:5 7
3 Korabi Peshkopi 4 2 1 1 4:5 7
4 Iliria Kruja 4 1 3 0 5:3 6
5 Bylis 4 1 3 0 4:3 6
6 Kukesi 4 2 0 2 6:6 6
7 Kastrioti 4 1 2 1 5:5 5
8 Burreli 4 1 2 1 5:6 5
9 Sopoti Librazhd 4 1 2 1 5:7 5
10 Beselidhja Lezha 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
11 Flamurtari 4 0 3 1 4:5 3
12 KF Oriku 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë (Relegation)