Sport Picks
Match Events
AI Match Summary
The Kategoria e Parë game between Pogradeci and Kastrioti finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Pogradeci.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Look at the last few games and Pogradeci come out ahead of Kastrioti on wins alone.
- Model gives Pogradeci a 40% chance of winning this.
- Regular Kategoria e Parë form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Pogradeci here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Pogradeci | Kastrioti |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 9 |
| Draws | 8 | 4 |
| Losses | 6 | 15 |
| Goals Scored | 1.8 | 1.36 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.93 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.13 | 1.19 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Pogradeci Compare
Kastrioti Compare
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Kastrioti has conceded goals in 82% of their last 28 outings.
These sides typically produce 4.40 goals when they meet.
Pogradeci's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Solid form: Pogradeci remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Pogradeci
(Home)Kastrioti
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pogradeci | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:1 | 8 |
| 2 | Besa Kavaje | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13:5 | 7 |
| 3 | Korabi Peshkopi | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | 7 |
| 4 | Iliria Kruja | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 5:3 | 6 |
| 5 | Bylis | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 6 | Kukesi | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 6 |
| 7 | Kastrioti | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:5 | 5 |
| 8 | Burreli | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:6 | 5 |
| 9 | Sopoti Librazhd | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5:7 | 5 |
| 10 | Beselidhja Lezha | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 4 |
| 11 | Flamurtari | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4:5 | 3 |
| 12 | KF Oriku | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1:9 | 0 |
