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Pogradeci vs KF Oriku - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë
Wed, Oct 28, 2026
VS
12:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pogradeci host KF Oriku in the Kategoria e Parë. Recent form is the clearest guide to this one. Recent numbers: Pogradeci at 2.03 goals for, 0.94 against; KF Oriku at 0.89 for, 1.61 against. Past meetings favor KF Oriku slightly — 2-3-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Oct 18, 2023, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 2.06 vs 0.56, favoring Pogradeci. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Pogradeci
20%
Draws
0%
KF Oriku
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pogradeci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Pogradeci have won more games recently than KF Oriku.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Pogradeci taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Pogradeci Clean Sheet 20%
KF Oriku Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogradeci KF Oriku
Matches Played 32 28
Wins 18 8
Draws 8 1
Losses 6 19
Goals Scored 2.03 0.89
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.61
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2023 Albanian Cup
KF Oriku vs Pogradeci
2:0
May 14, 2022 Kategoria e Parë
Pogradeci vs KF Oriku
1:2
Nov 1, 2020 Albanian Cup
Pogradeci vs KF Oriku
9:1
Dec 21, 2019 Kategoria e Parë
Pogradeci vs KF Oriku
1:0
Sep 28, 2019 Kategoria e Parë
KF Oriku vs Pogradeci
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogradeci 85 / 100
KF Oriku 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogradeci KF Oriku

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pogradeci Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Solid form: Pogradeci remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

KF Oriku's recent record shows 5 losses from the last 5 matches.

Pogradeci scored in 69% of their last 32 games.

Scoring Trends

Pogradeci VS KF Oriku
2 Goals Scored 0.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 2.13
63% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogradeci

(Home)
17 Oct
Pogradeci
2 : 2
Sopoti Librazhd
11 Oct
Korabi Peshkopi
0 : 2
Pogradeci
07 Oct
Pogradeci
7 : 0
Delvina
20 Sept
Pogradeci
0 : 0
Flamurtari
16 Sept
Kukesi
0 : 3
Pogradeci
Page 1 of 7

KF Oriku

(Away)
16 Oct
KF Oriku
1 : 4
Flamurtari
11 Oct
Kastrioti
2 : 0
KF Oriku
07 Oct
KF Oriku
1 : 2
Butrinti Sarande
20 Sept
KF Oriku
0 : 1
Burreli
16 Sept
Besa Kavaje
5 : 0
KF Oriku
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogradeci 6 3 3 0 9:3 12
2 Besa Kavaje 6 3 1 2 15:7 10
3 Bylis 6 2 4 0 5:3 10
4 Flamurtari 6 2 3 1 10:6 9
5 Kukesi 6 3 0 3 8:7 9
6 Iliria Kruja 6 2 3 1 6:5 9
7 Beselidhja Lezha 6 2 2 2 7:6 8
8 Kastrioti 6 2 2 2 8:9 8
9 Korabi Peshkopi 6 2 2 2 4:7 8
10 Burreli 6 1 3 2 5:7 6
11 Sopoti Librazhd 6 1 3 2 7:11 6
12 KF Oriku 6 0 0 6 2:15 0
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë (Relegation)