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Pogradeci vs Korabi Peshkopi

Albania Albania

Albanian Cup
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pogradeci play Korabi Peshkopi in the Albanian Cup. Pogradeci are favorites here. Recently, Pogradeci averaged 2 goals scored and 0.94 conceded. Korabi Peshkopi averaged 1.41 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. In past meetings, Pogradeci won 4, Korabi Peshkopi won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 7, 2026 ended 4:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.56 for Pogradeci and 1.00 for Korabi Peshkopi. This points to a Pogradeci double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Pogradeci
15%
Draws
28%
Korabi Peshkopi
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Pogradeci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence
  • Pogradeci picked up more points recently compared to Korabi Peshkopi.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.56 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 55%
Pogradeci Clean Sheet 23%
Korabi Peshkopi Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogradeci Korabi Peshkopi
Matches Played 32 32
Wins 21 11
Draws 6 8
Losses 5 13
Goals Scored 2 1.41
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 2.13 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 7, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Pogradeci vs Korabi Peshkopi
4:1
Jan 31, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Pogradeci vs Korabi Peshkopi
3:1
Nov 19, 2025 Albanian Cup
Pogradeci vs Korabi Peshkopi
4:3
Oct 29, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Korabi Peshkopi vs Pogradeci
1:2
Apr 20, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Korabi Peshkopi vs Pogradeci
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogradeci Compare

Top Goalscorer Krasniqi N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Rodriguez S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.64
Avg xA / game 1.06

Korabi Peshkopi Compare

Top Goalscorer Marku T.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bocka E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogradeci 56 / 100
Korabi Peshkopi 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogradeci Korabi Peshkopi

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pogradeci Win (1)
Secondary Pick Pogradeci & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.3%
2.04
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pogradeci attacking → ← attacking Korabi Peshkopi

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pogradeci scored in 72% of their last 32 games.

Korabi Peshkopi let in goals in 72% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 4.40 goals.

Pogradeci went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Korabi Peshkopi lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

69 Points in last 5 41
2.13 Goals expected (xG) 1.00
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00