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Pogradeci vs Skenderbeu Korca

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Nasr S.
90' Event
Preknicaj K.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Pogradeci
20%
Draws
51%
Skenderbeu Korca
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Skenderbeu Korca

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Pogradeci lately — more wins on the board than Skenderbeu Korca.
  • Pogradeci are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Pogradeci Clean Sheet 20%
Skenderbeu Korca Clean Sheet 19%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogradeci Skenderbeu Korca
Matches Played 32 31
Wins 20 17
Draws 6 6
Losses 6 8
Goals Scored 1.97 1.48
Goals Conceded 0.94 1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.75 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 12, 2026 Club Friendly
Pogradeci vs Skenderbeu Korca
0:1
Apr 25, 2026 Kategoria e Parë
Pogradeci vs Skenderbeu Korca
1:1
Dec 7, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Skenderbeu Korca vs Pogradeci
1:2
Sep 19, 2025 Kategoria e Parë
Pogradeci vs Skenderbeu Korca
0:1
Nov 12, 2020 Albanian Cup
Skenderbeu Korca vs Pogradeci
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pogradeci Compare

Top Goalscorer Preknicaj K.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.58
Avg xA / game 0.38

Skenderbeu Korca Compare

Top Goalscorer Nasr S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogradeci 36 / 100
Skenderbeu Korca 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogradeci Skenderbeu Korca

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Pogradeci scored in 72% of their last 32 outings.

Skenderbeu Korca has conceded goals in 61% of their last 31 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Pogradeci stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pogradeci VS Skenderbeu Korca
0.75 Goals Scored 1.13
1.25 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 50%
25% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogradeci

(Home)
12 Aug
Pogradeci
0 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
08 Aug
Pogradeci
4 : 2
Pelister
31 Jul
Pogradeci
0 : 2
Partizani
25 Jul
Pogradeci
1 : 1
Besa Kavaje
16 May
Teuta
1 : 0
Pogradeci
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Skenderbeu Korca

(Away)
31 Aug
Skenderbeu Korca
0 : 1
Dinamo City
21 Aug
Vllaznia
2 : 2
Skenderbeu Korca
12 Aug
Pogradeci
0 : 1
Skenderbeu Korca
05 Aug
Skenderbeu Korca
2 : 1
Kukesi
26 Jul
Skenderbeu Korca
0 : 2
Partizani
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Laci 33 24 7 2 60:23 79
2 Skenderbeu Korca 33 24 5 4 57:25 77
3 Pogradeci 33 20 8 5 63:31 68
4 Iliria Kruja 33 11 12 10 32:33 45
5 Besa Kavaje 33 10 9 14 41:43 39
6 Kastrioti 33 11 6 16 44:57 39
7 Burreli 33 9 10 14 27:45 37
8 Korabi Peshkopi 33 8 12 13 31:39 36
9 AF Luftetari 33 7 13 13 37:43 34
10 Kukesi 33 8 7 18 31:50 31
11 Apolonia Fier 33 6 10 17 31:44 28
12 Lushnja 33 5 11 17 26:47 26
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2025/2026 (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë 2025/2026 (Relegation)