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Pogradeci vs Sopoti Librazhd - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Albania Albania

Kategoria e Parë
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
11:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pogradeci host Sopoti Librazhd in the Kategoria e Parë. Pogradeci go into this one as the clear favorite. Sopoti Librazhd have shipped 2.14 goals a game lately, while Pogradeci have conceded 0.88 and scored 1.97. Head-to-head, Pogradeci have won 3 to Sopoti Librazhd's 0, with 2 draws. They last met on Dec 3, 2016, ending 2:2. xG projections (1.25 - 1.00) back Pogradeci to edge this. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

61%
Pogradeci
20%
Draws
19%
Sopoti Librazhd
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Pogradeci

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

61% / High Confidence
  • Pogradeci have won more games recently than Sopoti Librazhd.
  • Win probability leans Pogradeci's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Kategoria e Parë form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Pogradeci Clean Sheet 20%
Sopoti Librazhd Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pogradeci Sopoti Librazhd
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 18 5
Draws 8 8
Losses 6 16
Goals Scored 1.97 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.88 2.14
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 3, 2016 Kategoria e Parë
Sopoti Librazhd vs Pogradeci
2:2
Oct 1, 2016 Kategoria e Parë
Pogradeci vs Sopoti Librazhd
1:0
Apr 16, 2016 Kategoria e Parë
Sopoti Librazhd vs Pogradeci
0:2
Mar 12, 2016 Kategoria e Parë
Sopoti Librazhd vs Pogradeci
0:2
Nov 21, 2015 Kategoria e Parë
Pogradeci vs Sopoti Librazhd
1:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pogradeci 85 / 100
Sopoti Librazhd 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pogradeci Sopoti Librazhd

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pogradeci Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pogradeci has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Pogradeci scored in 66% of their last 32 games.

Sopoti Librazhd's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Scoring Trends

Pogradeci VS Sopoti Librazhd
1 Goals Scored 1
1 Goals Conceded 1.5
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Pogradeci

(Home)
11 Oct
Korabi Peshkopi
0 : 2
Pogradeci
07 Oct
Pogradeci
7 : 0
Delvina
20 Sept
Pogradeci
0 : 0
Flamurtari
16 Sept
Kukesi
0 : 3
Pogradeci
12 Sept
Pogradeci
2 : 1
Kastrioti
Page 1 of 7

Sopoti Librazhd

(Away)
10 Oct
Flamurtari
2 : 0
Sopoti Librazhd
06 Oct
Beselidhja Lezha
2 : 1
Sopoti Librazhd
20 Sept
Sopoti Librazhd
1 : 1
Kastrioti
16 Sept
Burreli
1 : 3
Sopoti Librazhd
12 Sept
Sopoti Librazhd
0 : 4
Besa Kavaje
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Pogradeci 5 3 2 0 7:1 11
2 Besa Kavaje 5 3 1 1 15:5 10
3 Bylis 5 2 3 0 5:3 9
4 Kastrioti 5 2 2 1 7:5 8
5 Korabi Peshkopi 5 2 1 2 4:7 7
6 Flamurtari 5 1 3 1 6:5 6
7 Iliria Kruja 5 1 3 1 5:5 6
8 Kukesi 5 2 0 3 6:7 6
9 Burreli 5 1 3 1 5:6 6
10 Beselidhja Lezha 5 1 2 2 3:5 5
11 Sopoti Librazhd 5 1 2 2 5:9 5
12 KF Oriku 5 0 0 5 1:11 0
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Abissnet Superiore (Relegation)
Relegation - Kategoria e Parë (Relegation)