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Pohang vs Gwangju FC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Pohang Steel Yard, Pohang
Sat, Nov 28, 2026
VS
07:30 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pohang host Gwangju FC in the K League 1. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Pohang have averaged 1.07 scored and 1.43 conceded recently, against Gwangju FC's 1 scored and 1.97 conceded. Head-to-head, Pohang have won 4 to Gwangju FC's 1, with 0 draws. They last met on Aug 15, 2026, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.69) point toward Pohang. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Pohang
35%
Draws
43%
Gwangju FC
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Gwangju FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Pohang come out ahead of Gwangju FC on wins alone.
  • Model gives Gwangju FC a 43% chance of winning this.
  • Regular K League 1 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Pohang have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Pohang Clean Sheet 13%
Gwangju FC Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pohang Gwangju FC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 10 4
Draws 8 11
Losses 12 15
Goals Scored 1.07 1
Goals Conceded 1.43 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 15, 2026 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Pohang
1:2
Jul 11, 2026 K League 1
Gwangju FC vs Pohang
0:3
Apr 22, 2026 K League 1
Pohang vs Gwangju FC
1:0
Aug 10, 2025 K League 1
Pohang vs Gwangju FC
1:0
May 18, 2025 K League 1
Pohang vs Gwangju FC
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pohang 22 / 100
Gwangju FC 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pohang Gwangju FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Gwangju FC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gwangju FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Pohang's goal record stands at 60% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 1.80 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Pohang remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Pohang VS Gwangju FC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pohang

(Home)
04 Nov
Pohang
3 : 3
Gamba Osaka
01 Nov
Pohang
1 : 1
Jeju SK
28 Oct
Kashima Antlers
3 : 0
Pohang
24 Oct
Ulsan Hyundai
2 : 2
Pohang
18 Oct
Pohang
0 : 0
Anyang
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Gwangju FC

(Away)
07 Nov
Jeju SK
1 : 1
Gwangju FC
31 Oct
Gwangju FC
1 : 1
Gimcheon Sangmu
24 Oct
Bucheon FC 1995
0 : 3
Gwangju FC
18 Oct
Daejeon
3 : 2
Gwangju FC
11 Oct
Gwangju FC
4 : 3
Ulsan Hyundai
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Jeju SK 35 12 12 11 41:39 48
8 Anyang 35 11 13 11 42:50 46
9 Pohang 35 11 11 13 33:42 44
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 35 6 20 9 35:42 38
11 Bucheon FC 1995 35 7 12 16 35:51 33
12 Gwangju FC 35 3 14 18 32:71 23
Relegation - K League 2 2027 (Main)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation)