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Pohang vs Jeju SK - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Pohang Steel Yard, Pohang
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
Emerson Negueba
Assist: Kim Ryun-sung
42'
Sub
Jorge Teixeira In: Tranziska J.
Out: Jorge Teixeira
45'
Costa S.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this K League 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Pohang
35%
Draws
32%
Jeju SK
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Jeju SK have won more games recently than Pohang.
  • Pohang are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Pohang Clean Sheet 17%
Jeju SK Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pohang Jeju SK
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 10 11
Draws 8 9
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.03 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.42 1.27
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2026 K League 1
Pohang vs Jeju SK
1:1
Aug 25, 2026 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Pohang
1:2
Jul 18, 2026 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Pohang
2:1
Apr 11, 2026 K League 1
Pohang vs Jeju SK
0:2
Sep 21, 2025 K League 1
Pohang vs Jeju SK
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pohang Compare

Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Jeju SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Emerson Negueba
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pohang 41 / 100
Jeju SK 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pohang Jeju SK

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Jeju SK's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Pohang went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Difficult form: Jeju SK registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pohang VS Jeju SK
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Pohang

(Home)
04 Nov
Pohang
3 : 3
Gamba Osaka
01 Nov
Pohang
1 : 1
Jeju SK
28 Oct
Kashima Antlers
3 : 0
Pohang
24 Oct
Ulsan Hyundai
2 : 2
Pohang
18 Oct
Pohang
0 : 0
Anyang
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Jeju SK

(Away)
01 Nov
Pohang
1 : 1
Jeju SK
24 Oct
Incheon
3 : 1
Jeju SK
18 Oct
Jeonbuk
3 : 2
Jeju SK
10 Oct
Seoul
2 : 1
Jeju SK
20 Sept
Gangwon
0 : 1
Jeju SK
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Jeju SK 35 12 12 11 41:39 48
8 Anyang 35 11 13 11 42:50 46
9 Pohang 35 11 11 13 33:42 44
10 Gimcheon Sangmu 35 6 20 9 35:42 38
11 Bucheon FC 1995 35 7 12 16 35:51 33
12 Gwangju FC 35 3 14 18 32:71 23
Relegation - K League 2 2027 (Main)
Relegation - K League 1 (Relegation)