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Pohang vs Jeju SK

South Korea South Korea

K League 1 Pohang Steel Yard
Our Tip

Match Events

17' Event
Jang M.
Assist: Kim Jun-ha
27' Event
Shin Sang-Eun
Assist: Celestine J.
29'
Park Chan-Yong

AI Match Summary

Pohang host Jeju SK in the K League 1. Chances could be at a premium in this fixture. Jeju SK have shipped 1.13 goals a game lately, while Pohang have conceded 0.88 and scored 1. Past meetings favor Pohang slightly — 3-2-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 11, 2026, ending 0:2. xG projections (1.06 - 0.88) back Pohang to edge this. Under markets carry more value than backing a winner outright.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Pohang
11%
Draws
9%
Jeju SK
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Pohang

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Pohang has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Jeju SK.
  • Model forecasts a 80% win probability edge for Pohang.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in K League 1 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
Pohang Clean Sheet 68%
Jeju SK Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pohang Jeju SK
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 13 9
Draws 8 7
Losses 9 13
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.13
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 11, 2026 K League 1
Pohang vs Jeju SK
0:2
Sep 21, 2025 K League 1
Pohang vs Jeju SK
1:0
Jun 21, 2025 K League 1
Pohang vs Jeju SK
2:1
Apr 20, 2025 K League 1
Jeju SK vs Pohang
2:0
Aug 28, 2024 Korean Cup
Pohang vs Jeju SK
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Pohang Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Jeju SK Compare

Top Goalscorer Jang M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Shin Sang-Eun
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pohang 86 / 100
Jeju SK 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pohang Jeju SK

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick POH Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pohang scored in 67% of their last 30 games.

Jeju SK let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Pohang went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Jeju SK lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Pohang VS Jeju SK
1 Goals Scored 0.88
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.13
50% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Seoul17113328:1236
2Jeonbuk1785425:1529
3Gangwon1777321:1128
4Pohang1784518:1428
5Ulsan Hyundai1783624:2427
6Anyang1758422:1923
7Incheon1763821:1921
8Jeju SK1755714:1720
9Bucheon FC 19951747614:1819
10Daejeon1746719:1818
11Gimcheon Sangmu17210517:2316
12Gwangju FC1715118:418