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Pohja-Tallinna vs Paide Linnameeskond U21

Estonia Estonia

Esiliiga B 2019
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Pohja-Tallinna play Paide Linnameeskond U21 in the Esiliiga B 2019. Pohja-Tallinna are favorites here. Recently, Pohja-Tallinna averaged 2.17 goals scored and 3.87 conceded. Paide Linnameeskond U21 averaged 1.94 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Pohja-Tallinna won 2, Paide Linnameeskond U21 won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 19, 2019 ended 0:7. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Pohja-Tallinna and 1.00 for Paide Linnameeskond U21. This points to a Pohja-Tallinna double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Pohja-Tallinna
25%
Draws
15%
Paide Linnameeskond U21
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Pohja-Tallinna

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

91% / Very High Confidence
  • Pohja-Tallinna picked up more points recently compared to Paide Linnameeskond U21.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 1.00 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 77%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 91%
Over 2.5 Goals 77%
Over 3.5 Goals 46%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 57%
Pohja-Tallinna Clean Sheet 23%
Paide Linnameeskond U21 Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 82%
Second Half Goal 86%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Pohja-Tallinna Paide Linnameeskond U21
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 9 10
Draws 2 8
Losses 19 14
Goals Scored 2.17 1.94
Goals Conceded 3.87 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 19, 2019 Esiliiga B
Pohja-Tallinna vs Paide Linnameeskond U21
0:7
Aug 24, 2019 Esiliiga B
Paide Linnameeskond U21 vs Pohja-Tallinna
1:2
May 30, 2019 Esiliiga B
Pohja-Tallinna vs Paide Linnameeskond U21
0:1
Apr 27, 2019 Esiliiga B
Paide Linnameeskond U21 vs Pohja-Tallinna
0:3

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Pohja-Tallinna 59 / 100
Paide Linnameeskond U21 16 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Pohja-Tallinna Paide Linnameeskond U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Pohja-Tallinna Win (1)
Secondary Pick Pohja-Tallinna & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +15.2%
1.92
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +8.6%
1.41
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Pohja-Tallinna attacking → ← attacking Paide Linnameeskond U21

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Pohja-Tallinna scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Paide Linnameeskond U21 let in goals in 81% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 3.50 goals.

Pohja-Tallinna went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Paide Linnameeskond U21 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

29 Points in last 5 38
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.88
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.63

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Nomme Utd362745118:3885
2Vandra Vaprus362151097:7168
3Parnu361951282:5362
4Kalju U21361941379:5061
5Viimsi JK361641675:6852
6Keila JK361441867:8746
7Tabasalu361341977:7943
8Paide Linnameeskond U21361161961:8739
9Voru Helios361042248:10134
10Pohja-Tallinna36922553:12329