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Poland U19 W vs Bulgaria U19 W

Europe Europe

Euro U19 Women 2026
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Poland U19 W play Bulgaria U19 W in the Euro U19 Women 2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Poland U19 W averaged 2.52 goals scored and 0.65 conceded. Bulgaria U19 W averaged 1.77 goals scored and 2.07 conceded. In past meetings, Poland U19 W won 2, Bulgaria U19 W won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Nov 26, 2025 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.25 for Poland U19 W and 1.23 for Bulgaria U19 W. This points to a Poland U19 W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Poland U19 W
15%
Draws
32%
Bulgaria U19 W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Poland U19 W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

79% / High Confidence
  • Poland U19 W picked up more points recently compared to Bulgaria U19 W.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.25 vs 1.23 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 69%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Over 3.5 Goals 41%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31%
Poland U19 W Clean Sheet 20%
Bulgaria U19 W Clean Sheet 10%
First Half Goal 73%
Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Poland U19 W Bulgaria U19 W
Matches Played 31 30
Wins 19 13
Draws 6 2
Losses 6 15
Goals Scored 2.52 1.77
Goals Conceded 0.65 2.07
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.33
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.13 2.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 26, 2025 Euro U19 Women
Poland U19 W vs Bulgaria U19 W
3:0
Oct 5, 2019 Euro U19 Women
Poland U19 W vs Bulgaria U19 W
5:0
Sep 29, 2007 Euro U19 Women
Poland U19 W vs Bulgaria U19 W
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poland U19 W Compare

Top Goalscorer Piekarska M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Langosz J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Bulgaria U19 W Compare

Avg xG / game 2.12
Avg xA / game 1.29

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poland U19 W 52 / 100
Bulgaria U19 W 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Poland U19 W Bulgaria U19 W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Poland U19 W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Poland U19 W & Over 2.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +17.7%
2.22
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.7%
1.59
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Poland U19 W attacking → ← attacking Bulgaria U19 W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Poland U19 W scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Bulgaria U19 W let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.33 goals.

Poland U19 W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Bulgaria U19 W lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

63 Points in last 5 41
2.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.33
0.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 2.50

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Denmark U19 W32108:37
2Portugal U19 W32107:37
3Iceland U19 W31026:53
4Kosovo U19 W30031:110
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Spain U19 W330018:19
2Germany U19 W311110:74
3Belgium U19 W31118:74
4Faroe Islands U19 W30030:210
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1England U19 W321011:17
2Greece U19 W32015:46
3Austria U19 W311113:34
4Estonia U19 W30030:210
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Norway U19 W32107:27
2Scotland U19 W32107:37
3Netherlands U19 W31024:43
4Croatia U19 W30031:100
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Poland U19 W33008:09
2Sweden U19 W32015:36
3Ireland U19 W31025:73
4Bulgaria U19 W30031:90
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Italy U19 W321012:17
2Switzerland U19 W32103:17
3Northern Ireland U19 W31025:143
4Belarus U19 W30032:60
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1France U19 W33007:39
2Finland U19 W31114:34
3Wales U19 W31114:44
4Turkey U19 W30031:60