Sport Picks

Europe

Euro U21 Stadion Miejski im. Floriana Krygiera, Szczecin

Poland U21

2 - 1

Italy U21

Our Tip

Match Events

14'

Cherubini L.

33'

Bartesaghi D.

43'

Koleosho L.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 game between Poland U21 and Italy U21 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Poland U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%

Poland U21

15%

Draws

38%

Italy U21

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Poland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Poland U21 have managed 2.13 goals a game lately — Italy U21 are scoring more at 2.38.
Poland U21 are the model's pick here, at 36%.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
History favors Poland U21 here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%

Poland U21 Clean Sheet 16%

Italy U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Poland U21	Italy U21
Matches Played	30	29
Wins	18	18
Draws	5	7
Losses	7	4
Goals Scored	2.13	2.38
Goals Conceded	1.2	1
Expected Goals (xG)	1.94	1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2025 Euro U21

Poland U21 vs Italy U21

2:1

Jun 19, 2019 Euro U21

Italy U21 vs Poland U21

0:1

Mar 23, 2017 Friendly International

Poland U21 vs Italy U21

1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Bogacz W.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Kuziemka M.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.49

Avg xA / game 0.97

Italy U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Pisilli N.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.31

Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poland U21 36 / 100

Italy U21 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Poland U21 Italy U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Poland U21 scored in 90% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Poland U21 remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

These sides typically produce 2.33 goals when they meet.

Italy U21's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Scoring Trends

Poland U21 VS Italy U21

2.88 Goals Scored 2.13

0.75 Goals Conceded 1

88% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 63%

50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Poland U21

(Home)

31 Mar

Montenegro U21

0 : 1

Poland U21

27 Mar

Poland U21

4 : 1

Armenia U21

18 Nov

North Macedonia U21

0 : 1

Poland U21

14 Nov

Poland U21

2 : 1

Italy U21

14 Oct

Sweden U21

0 : 6

Poland U21

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Italy U21

(Away)

08 Jun

Italy U21

1 : 0

Albania U21

31 Mar

Sweden U21

0 : 4

Italy U21

26 Mar

Italy U21

4 : 0

North Macedonia U21

18 Nov

Montenegro U21

1 : 4

Italy U21

14 Nov

Poland U21

2 : 1

Italy U21

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