Sport Picks

Europe

Euro U21 Arena Katowice

Montenegro U21

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Poland U21 play Montenegro U21 in the Euro U21. Poland U21 are favorites here. Recently, Poland U21 averaged 2.13 goals scored and 1.2 conceded. Montenegro U21 averaged 1.37 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Poland U21 won 4, Montenegro U21 won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Mar 31, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.94 for Poland U21 and 1.38 for Montenegro U21. This points to a Poland U21 double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%

Poland U21

15%

Draws

28%

Montenegro U21

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Poland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

83% / High Confidence

Poland U21 picked up more points recently compared to Montenegro U21.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.94 vs 1.38 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 62%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 77%

Over 2.5 Goals 62%

Over 3.5 Goals 37%

Over 4.5 Goals 19%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%

Poland U21 Clean Sheet 17%

Montenegro U21 Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 69%

Second Half Goal 73%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Poland U21	Montenegro U21
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	18	10
Draws	5	5
Losses	7	15
Goals Scored	2.13	1.37
Goals Conceded	1.2	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	2.38	1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 31, 2026 Euro U21

Montenegro U21 vs Poland U21

Possession: 59% - 51% Cards: 2 - 1

0:1

Oct 10, 2025 Euro U21

Poland U21 vs Montenegro U21

Possession: 42% - 45% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

Jun 19, 2023 Friendly International

Montenegro U21 vs Poland U21

Possession: 51% - 44% Cards: 1 - 3

1:2

Nov 18, 2019 Friendly International

Montenegro U21 vs Poland U21

Possession: 58% - 55% Cards: 1 - 1

1:0

Oct 10, 2016 Friendly International

Poland U21 vs Montenegro U21

Possession: 52% - 46% Cards: 1 - 4

6:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Kozubal A.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Pietuszewski O.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.83

Avg xA / game 1.19

Montenegro U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14

Avg xA / game 0.69

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poland U21 55 / 100

Montenegro U21 27 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Poland U21 Montenegro U21

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Poland U21 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Poland U21 & Over 2.5

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +16.3%

2.04

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +11%

1.79

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Poland U21 attacking → ← attacking Montenegro U21

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Poland U21 scored in 90% of their last 30 games.

Montenegro U21 let in goals in 77% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Poland U21 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Montenegro U21 lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

59 Points in last 5 35

2.38 Goals expected (xG) 1.25

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain U21	7	7	0	0	26:2	21
2	Finland U21	7	5	1	1	26:2	16
3	Romania U21	7	4	1	2	8:4	13
4	Kosovo U21	7	2	2	3	12:6	8
5	Cyprus U21	7	1	0	6	5:24	3
6	San Marino U21	7	0	0	7	0:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal U21	7	6	1	0	28:0	19
2	Czech Republic U21	7	4	2	1	15:3	14
3	Scotland U21	8	3	2	3	18:10	11
4	Bulgaria U21	7	3	2	2	7:6	11
5	Azerbaijan U21	7	1	3	3	5:18	6
6	Gibraltar U21	8	0	0	8	1:37	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France U21	6	5	1	0	21:4	16
2	Switzerland U21	7	4	2	1	10:5	14
3	Iceland U21	7	3	2	2	14:9	11
4	Faroe Islands U21	7	3	0	4	6:13	9
5	Luxembourg U21	6	1	1	4	7:14	4
6	Estonia U21	7	0	2	5	8:21	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England U21	7	6	1	0	18:2	19
2	Slovakia U21	7	5	1	1	15:10	16
3	Ireland U21	7	3	2	2	7:10	11
4	Andorra U21	8	2	1	5	6:10	7
5	Moldova U21	8	1	2	5	9:17	5
6	Kazakhstan U21	7	1	1	5	4:10	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Poland U21	8	8	0	0	23:2	24
2	Italy U21	8	7	0	1	25:5	21
3	Montenegro U21	8	3	1	4	11:14	10
4	Sweden U21	8	3	1	4	10:19	10
5	North Macedonia U21	8	2	0	6	7:17	6
6	Armenia U21	8	0	0	8	4:23	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany U21	7	6	0	1	22:4	18
2	Greece U21	7	6	0	1	21:4	18
3	Northern Ireland U21	7	3	1	3	8:11	10
4	Georgia U21	7	2	3	2	12:9	9
5	Latvia U21	7	1	2	4	4:12	5
6	Malta U21	7	0	0	7	1:28	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway U21	5	4	0	1	12:4	12
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina U21	6	1	4	1	2:1	7
3	Israel U21	6	1	4	1	6:7	7
4	Netherlands U21	5	1	2	2	7:8	5
5	Slovenia U21	6	1	2	3	3:10	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia U21	5	4	1	0	11:1	13
2	Turkey U21	6	3	2	1	7:6	11
3	Ukraine U21	6	2	2	2	10:7	8
4	Hungary U21	5	0	3	2	6:9	3
5	Lithuania U21	6	0	2	4	3:14	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium U21	5	3	1	1	11:2	10
2	Austria U21	6	3	1	2	7:7	10
3	Denmark U21	5	3	1	1	12:5	10
4	Wales U21	6	2	0	4	6:20	6
5	Belarus U21	6	1	1	4	7:9	4