Sport Picks

Poland U21 vs Sweden U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe

Euro U21 Arena Katowice, Katowice

Poland U21

3 - 0

Sweden U21

Our Tip

Match Events

16'

Svensson V.

40'

Mazurek B.

Assist: Pienko T.

47'

Kanga J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Euro U21 game between Poland U21 and Sweden U21 finished 3-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Poland U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%

Poland U21

15%

Draws

18%

Sweden U21

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Poland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence

Look at the last few games and Poland U21 come out ahead of Sweden U21 on wins alone.
Poland U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
European nights carry their own weight — this Euro U21 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 25%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%

Poland U21 Clean Sheet 20%

Sweden U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Poland U21	Sweden U21
Matches Played	32	32
Wins	19	14
Draws	5	5
Losses	8	13
Goals Scored	2.19	2.03
Goals Conceded	1.16	1.59
Expected Goals (xG)	2.63	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 30, 2026 Euro U21

Poland U21 vs Sweden U21

3:0

Oct 14, 2025 Euro U21

Sweden U21 vs Poland U21

0:6

Jun 19, 2017 Euro U21

Poland U21 vs Sweden U21

2:2

Sep 8, 2015 Friendly International

Poland U21 vs Sweden U21

0:0

Oct 12, 2013 Euro U21

Poland U21 vs Sweden U21

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazurek B.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Bak D.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 2.02

Avg xA / game 1.31

Sweden U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poland U21 85 / 100

Sweden U21 10 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Poland U21 Sweden U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Poland U21 Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Poland U21 scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Poland U21 went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Sweden U21 conceded in 66% of 32 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Poland U21 VS Sweden U21

2.88 Goals Scored 1.25

0.75 Goals Conceded 2.38

88% Over 1.5 88%

75% Over 2.5 75%

50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Poland U21

(Home)

30 Sept

Poland U21

3 : 0

Sweden U21

31 Mar

Montenegro U21

0 : 1

Poland U21

27 Mar

Poland U21

4 : 1

Armenia U21

18 Nov

North Macedonia U21

0 : 1

Poland U21

14 Nov

Poland U21

2 : 1

Italy U21

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Sweden U21

(Away)

30 Sept

Poland U21

3 : 0

Sweden U21

04 Jun

Sweden U21

1 : 3

Finland U21

31 Mar

Sweden U21

0 : 4

Italy U21

27 Mar

Sweden U21

2 : 2

Montenegro U21

18 Nov

Armenia U21

0 : 1

Sweden U21

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