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Poland U21 vs Ukraine U21

World World

Friendly International 2025 Calista Football Center, Belek
Our Tip

Match Events

19' Event
Viunnyk B.
46'
Sub
Kaluzinski J. In: Legowski M.
Out: Kaluzinski J.
46'
Sub
Bragaru M. In: Khlan M.
Out: Bragaru M.

AI Match Summary

Poland U21 in this Friendly International 2025 matchup, with the score ending 3-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Poland U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

67%
Poland U21
15%
Draws
18%
Ukraine U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Poland U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / High Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Poland U21 lately — more wins on the board than Ukraine U21.
  • Poland U21 are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Friendly International 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Poland U21 Clean Sheet 20%
Ukraine U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Poland U21 Ukraine U21
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 18 13
Draws 5 5
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 2.13 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.2 1.43
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2025 Friendly International
Poland U21 vs Ukraine U21
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poland U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Wlodarczyk S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fornalczyk M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Ukraine U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Viunnyk B.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poland U21 85 / 100
Ukraine U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Poland U21 Ukraine U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Poland U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Poland U21's goal record stands at 90% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 5.00 goals.

Poland U21 has registered 5 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ukraine U21 has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.

Scoring Trends

Poland U21 VS Ukraine U21
2.88 Goals Scored 1.25
0.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
88% Over 1.5 75%
75% Over 2.5 25%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Poland U21

(Home)
31 Mar
Montenegro U21
0 : 1
Poland U21
27 Mar
Poland U21
4 : 1
Armenia U21
18 Nov
North Macedonia U21
0 : 1
Poland U21
14 Nov
Poland U21
2 : 1
Italy U21
14 Oct
Sweden U21
0 : 6
Poland U21
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Ukraine U21

(Away)
08 Jun
Japan U21
3 : 0
Ukraine U21
05 Jun
USA U21
3 : 1
Ukraine U21
31 Mar
Hungary U21
1 : 2
Ukraine U21
27 Mar
Ukraine U21
1 : 1
Lithuania U21
17 Nov
Albania U21
2 : 0
Ukraine U21
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