Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 Superauto.pl Stadion Slaski, Chorzów

Poland

3 - 1

Finland

Our Tip

Match Events

27'

Cash M.

Assist: Kaminski J.

35'

Sub

Tenho M. In: Ivanov R.

Out: Tenho M.

45'

Lewandowski R.

Assist: Zielinski P.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The World Championship 2026 game between Poland and Finland finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Poland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%

Poland

15%

Draws

39%

Finland

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Poland

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

15% / Low Confidence

Poland carry the better recent record into this one.
Poland are the model's pick here, at 36%.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%

Poland Clean Sheet 20%

Finland Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Poland	Finland
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	14	8
Draws	6	2
Losses	9	19
Goals Scored	1.69	1.1
Goals Conceded	1.41	1.86
Expected Goals (xG)	1.88	1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 7, 2025 World Championship

Poland vs Finland

3:1

Jun 10, 2025 World Championship

Finland vs Poland

2:1

Oct 7, 2020 Friendly International

Poland vs Finland

5:1

Mar 27, 2020 Friendly International

Poland vs Finland

0:0

Mar 26, 2016 Friendly International

Poland vs Finland

5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poland Compare

Top Goalscorer Cash M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Lewandowski R.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.45

Avg xA / game 0.94

Finland Compare

Top Goalscorer Kallman B.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.08

Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poland 36 / 100

Finland 33 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Poland Finland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Poland scored in 93% of their last 29 games.

Finland's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.60 goals per match.

Poland has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Poland VS Finland

1.88 Goals Scored 1.25

1.13 Goals Conceded 1.88

88% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 75%

38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Poland

(Home)

03 Jun

Poland

2 : 2

Nigeria

31 May

Poland

0 : 2

Ukraine

31 Mar

Sweden

3 : 2

Poland

26 Mar

Poland

2 : 1

Albania

17 Nov

Malta

2 : 3

Poland

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Finland

(Away)

05 Jun

Hungary

2 : 1

Finland

31 May

Germany

4 : 0

Finland

30 Mar

Cape Verde

2 : 1

Finland

27 Mar

New Zealand

0 : 2

Finland

17 Nov

Finland

4 : 0

Andorra

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