Sport Picks

World

World Championship 2026 PGE Narodowy, Warsaw

Poland

1 - 1

Netherlands

Our Tip

Match Events

13'

Sub

Szymanski S. In: Kapustka B.

Out: Szymanski S.

17'

Zielinski P.

43'

Kaminski J.

Assist: Lewandowski R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this World Championship 2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Poland

20%

Draws

47%

Netherlands

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Netherlands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Netherlands have won more games recently than Poland.
Netherlands are the model's pick here, at 50%.
European nights carry their own weight — this World Championship 2026 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 39.6%

Poland Clean Sheet 12%

Netherlands Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Poland	Netherlands
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	15
Draws	7	9
Losses	9	6
Goals Scored	1.67	2.37
Goals Conceded	1.4	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.19	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2025 World Championship

Poland vs Netherlands

1:1

Sep 4, 2025 World Championship

Netherlands vs Poland

1:1

Jun 16, 2024 Euro

Poland vs Netherlands

1:2

Sep 22, 2022 UEFA Nations League

Poland vs Netherlands

0:2

Jun 11, 2022 UEFA Nations League

Netherlands vs Poland

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poland Compare

Top Goalscorer Kaminski J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.92

Avg xA / game 0.59

Netherlands Compare

Top Goalscorer Depay M.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poland 22 / 100

Netherlands 59 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Poland Netherlands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Netherlands Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Poland scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Netherlands's defensive record shows goals conceded in 73% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.60 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Poland stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Poland VS Netherlands

1.75 Goals Scored 2.25

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63

88% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Poland

(Home)

03 Jun

Poland

2 : 2

Nigeria

31 May

Poland

0 : 2

Ukraine

31 Mar

Sweden

3 : 2

Poland

26 Mar

Poland

2 : 1

Albania

17 Nov

Malta

2 : 3

Poland

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Netherlands

(Away)

30 Jun

Netherlands

1 : 2

Morocco

25 Jun

Tunisia

1 : 3

Netherlands

20 Jun

Netherlands

5 : 1

Sweden

14 Jun

Netherlands

2 : 2

Japan

08 Jun

Netherlands

2 : 1

Uzbekistan

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