Sport Picks

Europe

Euro 2024 Volksparkstadion, Hamburg

Poland

1 - 2

Netherlands

Our Tip

Match Events

15'

Veerman J.

16'

Buksa A.

Assist: Zielinski P.

29'

Gakpo C.

Assist: Ake N.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Netherlands in this Euro 2024 matchup, with the score ending 1-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Netherlands.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%

Poland

20%

Draws

47%

Netherlands

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Netherlands

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence

Form's been kind to Netherlands lately — more wins on the board than Poland.
47% — that's where the model lands on Netherlands taking it.
European nights carry their own weight — this Euro 2024 fixture won't be treated like a routine game.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%

Over 1.5 Goals 88%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 38%

Over 4.5 Goals 17%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%

Poland Clean Sheet 12%

Netherlands Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Poland	Netherlands
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	15
Draws	7	9
Losses	9	6
Goals Scored	1.67	2.37
Goals Conceded	1.4	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.19	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.10	1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 14, 2025 World Championship

Poland vs Netherlands

1:1

Sep 4, 2025 World Championship

Netherlands vs Poland

1:1

Jun 16, 2024 Euro

Poland vs Netherlands

1:2

Sep 22, 2022 UEFA Nations League

Poland vs Netherlands

0:2

Jun 11, 2022 UEFA Nations League

Netherlands vs Poland

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poland Compare

Top Goalscorer Buksa A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.92

Avg xA / game 0.59

Netherlands Compare

Top Goalscorer Gakpo C.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Weghorst W.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poland 22 / 100

Netherlands 47 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Poland Netherlands

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Netherlands Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Poland scored in 93% of their last 30 games.

Netherlands has conceded goals in 73% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Poland went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Poland VS Netherlands

1.75 Goals Scored 2.25

1.25 Goals Conceded 0.63

88% Over 1.5 88%

50% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Poland

(Home)

03 Jun

Poland

2 : 2

Nigeria

31 May

Poland

0 : 2

Ukraine

31 Mar

Sweden

3 : 2

Poland

26 Mar

Poland

2 : 1

Albania

17 Nov

Malta

2 : 3

Poland

Page 1 of 6

Netherlands

(Away)

30 Jun

Netherlands

1 : 2

Morocco

25 Jun

Tunisia

1 : 3

Netherlands

20 Jun

Netherlands

5 : 1

Sweden

14 Jun

Netherlands

2 : 2

Japan

08 Jun

Netherlands

2 : 1

Uzbekistan

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