Sport Picks

Europe

UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 PGE Narodowy

Poland

1 - 2

Scotland

Our Tip

Match Events

McGinn J.

Assist: Gannon-Doak B.

31'

McLean K.

46'

Sub

Moder J. In: Slisz B.

Out: Moder J.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The UEFA Nations League 2024/2025 game between Poland and Scotland finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Scotland.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Poland

39%

Draws

30%

Scotland

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Poland carry the better recent record into this one.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 25%

Over 3.5 Goals 22%

Over 4.5 Goals 10%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 36%

Poland Clean Sheet 12%

Scotland Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Poland	Scotland
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	14	12
Draws	7	4
Losses	9	14
Goals Scored	1.63	2.13
Goals Conceded	1.38	1.25
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 18, 2024 UEFA Nations League

Poland vs Scotland

Possession: 47% - 53% Cards: 1 - 1

1:2

Sep 5, 2024 UEFA Nations League

Scotland vs Poland

Possession: 42% - 53% Cards: 1 - 4

2:3

Mar 24, 2022 Friendly International

Scotland vs Poland

Possession: 53% - 46% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Oct 8, 2015 Euro

Scotland vs Poland

Possession: 55% - 48% Cards: 2 - 3

2:2

Oct 14, 2014 Euro

Poland vs Scotland

Possession: 59% - 52% Cards: 3 - 0

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poland Compare

Top Goalscorer Piatkowski K.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Scotland Compare

Top Goalscorer McGinn J.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Robertson A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poland 30 / 100

Scotland 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Poland Scotland

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCO Win (2)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 0:1

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Poland found the back of the net in 93% of recent matches (30 games).

H2H data points to 3.60 goals as a typical output.

Scotland's defensive record shows goals conceded in 70% of 30 matches.

Poland has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Poland VS Scotland

1.63 Goals Scored 2.13

1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25

88% Over 1.5 75%

50% Over 2.5 63%

38% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	2	0	13:5	14
2	Croatia	6	2	2	2	8:8	8
3	Scotland	6	2	1	3	7:8	7
4	Poland	6	1	1	4	9:16	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	4	1	1	12:6	13
2	Italy	6	4	1	1	13:8	13
3	Belgium	6	1	1	4	6:9	4
4	Israel	6	1	1	4	5:13	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	4	2	0	18:4	14
2	Netherlands	6	2	3	1	13:7	9
3	Hungary	6	1	3	2	4:11	6
4	Bosnia & Herzegovina	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	13:4	16
2	Denmark	6	2	2	2	7:5	8
3	Serbia	6	1	3	2	3:6	6
4	Switzerland	6	0	2	4	6:14	2