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Poland W vs Denmark W Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

Euro Women Thermoplan Arena, Luzern
Poland W Logo

Poland W

3 - 2
FT
Denmark W Logo

Denmark W

Our Tip

Match Events

13' Event
Padilla N.
20' Event
Pajor E.
Assist: Padilla N.
25'
Sub
Harder P. In: Bredgaard S.
Out: Harder P.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Euro Women game between Poland W and Denmark W finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Poland W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Poland W
20%
Draws
80%
Denmark W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Denmark W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Denmark W come out ahead of Poland W on wins alone.
  • Denmark W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Poland W Clean Sheet 10%
Denmark W Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Poland W Denmark W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 14 15
Draws 3 4
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.72 1.86
Goals Conceded 1.45 1.28
Expected Goals (xG) 1.19 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 12, 2025 Euro Women
Poland W vs Denmark W
3:2
Jun 7, 2016 Euro Women
Denmark W vs Poland W
6:0
Apr 7, 2016 Euro Women
Poland W vs Denmark W
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Poland W Compare

Top Goalscorer Padilla N.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Pajor E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.59

Denmark W Compare

Top Goalscorer Thomsen J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Bruun S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Poland W 10 / 100
Denmark W 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Poland W Denmark W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Denmark W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.67 goals when they meet.

Poland W found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Denmark W conceded in 72% of 29 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Poland W VS Denmark W
1.75 Goals Scored 2
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.63
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
50% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Poland W

(Home)
09 Jun
Netherlands W
3 : 1
Poland W
05 Jun
Poland W
0 : 2
France W
18 Apr
Ireland W
1 : 0
Poland W
14 Apr
Poland W
2 : 3
Ireland W
07 Mar
France W
4 : 1
Poland W
Page 1 of 6

Denmark W

(Away)
09 Jun
Serbia W
1 : 4
Denmark W
05 Jun
Denmark W
2 : 1
Sweden W
18 Apr
Denmark W
0 : 0
Italy W
14 Apr
Sweden W
1 : 2
Denmark W
07 Mar
Italy W
1 : 1
Denmark W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Norway W 3 3 0 0 8:5 9
2 Switzerland W 3 1 1 1 4:3 4
3 Finland W 3 1 1 1 3:3 4
4 Iceland W 3 0 0 3 3:7 0
Promotion - Euro Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Spain W 3 3 0 0 14:3 9
2 Italy W 3 1 1 1 3:4 4
3 Belgium W 3 1 0 2 4:8 3
4 Portugal W 3 0 1 2 2:8 1
Promotion - Euro Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sweden W 3 3 0 0 8:1 9
2 Germany W 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
3 Poland W 3 1 0 2 3:7 3
4 Denmark W 3 0 0 3 3:6 0
Promotion - Euro Women (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 France W 3 3 0 0 11:4 9
2 England W 3 2 0 1 11:3 6
3 Netherlands W 3 1 0 2 5:9 3
4 Wales W 3 0 0 3 2:13 0
Promotion - Euro Women (Play Offs)