Sport Picks
Match Events
21'
21'
Doukansy B.
69'
69'
Stefanovici S.
120'
120'
Grozav G.
AI Match Summary
Petrolul in this Romanian Cup 2025/2026 tie, finishing 1-2. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
23%
20%
57%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Petrolul
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Attack-wise there's a gap: Petrolul at 1.41 per game, Poli Iasi at 1.37.
- Win probability leans Petrolul's way, sitting at 40%.
- Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
- Historical meetings favor Petrolul, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Poli Iasi Clean Sheet 17%
Petrolul Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Poli Iasi | Petrolul |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 29 |
| Wins | 13 | 13 |
| Draws | 5 | 6 |
| Losses | 12 | 10 |
| Goals Scored | 1.37 | 1.41 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.23 | 1.41 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 1.43 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 27, 2025 Romanian Cup
Poli Iasi vs Petrolul
1:2
May 18, 2025 Superliga
Poli Iasi vs Petrolul
0:2
Mar 2, 2025 Superliga
Poli Iasi vs Petrolul
1:0
Oct 26, 2024 Superliga
Petrolul vs Poli Iasi
3:1
May 12, 2024 Superliga
Poli Iasi vs Petrolul
2:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Poli Iasi Compare
Top Goalscorer Stefanovici S.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.99
Avg xA / game 0.65
Petrolul Compare
Top Goalscorer Doukansy B.
1 Goals Assists Leader Grozav G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.3
Avg xA / game 0.79
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Poli Iasi 28 / 100
Petrolul 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Poli Iasi Petrolul
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Petrolul Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Poli Iasi scored in 67% of their last 30 outings.
Petrolul's defensive record shows goals conceded in 76% of 29 matches.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Solid form: Poli Iasi remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
- VS Petrolul
0 Goals Scored 1.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Poli Iasi
(Home) 09 May
CSM Slatina
1 : 0 Poli Iasi
02 May
Poli Iasi
2 : 2 Gloria Bistrita
25 Apr
Poli Iasi
1 : 0 Campulung
18 Apr
Metalul Buzau
2 : 0 Poli Iasi
10 Apr
Poli Iasi
0 : 1 FC ASA Tg. Mures
Page 1 of 6
02 May
Poli Iasi
2 : 2 Gloria Bistrita
25 Apr
Poli Iasi
1 : 0 Campulung
10 Apr
Poli Iasi
0 : 1 FC ASA Tg. Mures
21 Mar
Poli Iasi
3 : 0 Ceahlaul
07 Mar
Poli Iasi
6 : 1 Campulung
Page 1 of 4
Petrolul
(Away) 21 Sept
Petrolul
2 : 0 Miercurea Ciuc
14 Sept
FCSB
2 : 2 Petrolul
06 Sept
Petrolul
2 : 0 Corvinul Hunedoara
01 Sept
Universitatea Cluj
1 : 0 Petrolul
28 Aug
Universitatea Cluj
2 : 3 Petrolul
Page 1 of 6
14 Sept
FCSB
2 : 2 Petrolul
01 Sept
Universitatea Cluj
1 : 0 Petrolul
28 Aug
Universitatea Cluj
2 : 3 Petrolul
18 Aug
CSM Resita
2 : 3 Petrolul
14 Aug
Voluntari
1 : 2 Petrolul
Page 1 of 4
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/8-finals
Gilortul Tg. Carbunesti 1
Jiul Petrosani 3
TBD -
Minerul Lupeni -
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Corvinul Hunedoara -
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Farul Constanta -
Sport Team 0
Stefanesti 7
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Tunari -
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Voluntari -
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Miercurea Ciuc -
Poli Iasi -
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Petrolul -
Steaua Bucuresti -
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FC UTA Arad -
Metalurgistul Cugir 1
Univ. Alba Iulia 2
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Unirea Alba-Iulia -
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Selimbar -
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FC Botosani -
Muscelul Muscel 3
SA Pitesti 0
Kids Tampa Brasov 3
SR Brasov 0
FC Pucioasa 3
Tricolorul Breaza 2
TBD -
Campulung -
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Metaloglobus Bucharest -
Avantul Reghin 3
ACS Targu Mures 1898 0
Blaj 0
Sanatatea Cluj 2
CSM Sacele 4
Olimpic Zarnesti 2
Codlea 0
ACS Medias 4
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Unirea Slobozia -
CSM Fetesti 0
Agricola Borcea 4
Inainte Modelu 0
Calarasi 2
Victoria Cumpana 3
Medgidia 0
Axiopolis Cernavoda 1
Gloria Baneasa 5
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Campionii Arges -
Paulesti 1
CSO Plopeni 2
TBD -
Baicoi -
Flacara Moreni 2
Urban Titu 0
TBD -
Chindia Targoviste -
VSK Gyergyo 3
Targu Secuiesc 2
TBD -
Odorheiu -
Viitorul Livezile 4
Unirea Dej 1
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Gloria Bistrita -
Viitorul Onesti 1
Aerostar 0
Adjud 3
CSM Focsani 0
Sporting Liesti -
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Unirea Branistea -
Progresul Fundulea 3
Recolta Gheorghe Doja 2
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Popesti Leordeni -
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Afumati -
Farcasesti 9
CSO Filiasi 0
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FC U Craiova -
Pausesti-Otasau 2
Viitorul Daesti 0
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Ramnicu Valcea -
Adunatii-Copaceni 2
SCM Dunarea Giurgiu 1
Sporting Rosiori 1
Cetatea Turnu Magurele 3
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Concordia -
Vointa Limpezis 0
Braila 3
CSM Ramnicu Sarat 3
FC Buzau 0
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Metalul Buzau -
CSM Vaslui 15
CSM Bacau 0
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FC Bacau -
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Ceahlaul -
Gloria Lunca Teuz Cermei 1
Viitorul Arad 2
Avantul Periam 2
Progresul Pecica 4
Timisul Sag 10
Peciu Nou 0
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CSC Dumbravita -
Mintiu Gherlii 0
Viitorul Cluj 3
Diosig 0
SCM Zalau 3
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FC Bihor -
Olimpia Satu Mare 0
Sighetu Marmatiei 2
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Baia Mare -
Baile Felix 2
Crisul Santandrei 1
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CSM Satu Mare -
Petrolul Potcoava 2
Curtisoara 3
Unirea Bascov 1
Vedita Colonesti 2
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CSM Slatina -
Sanandrei Timis 3
Ghiroda & Giarmata Vii 1
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Politehnica Timisoara -
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CSM Resita -
LPS HD Clinceni 1
CSM Alexandria 0
ACS FC Dinamo Bucuresti 0
Progresul Spartac 3
Blejoi -
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CS Din. Bucuresti -
CSM Pascani 5
ACS USV Iasi 2
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Stiinta Miroslava -
Somuz Falticeni 0
Soimii Gura Humorului 3
Bucovina Radauti 3
Gloria Ultra 0
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Sepsi -
Quarter-finals
Jiul Petrosani 1
Minerul Lupeni 0
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Corvinul Hunedoara -
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Farul Constanta -
Stefanesti 1
Tunari 3
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Voluntari -
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Miercurea Ciuc -
Poli Iasi -
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Petrolul -
Steaua Bucuresti -
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FC UTA Arad -
Univ. Alba Iulia 1
Unirea Alba-Iulia 4
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Selimbar -
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FC Botosani -
Muscelul Muscel 1
Kids Tampa Brasov 0
FC Pucioasa 0
Campulung 3
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Metaloglobus Bucharest -
Avantul Reghin 0
Sanatatea Cluj 8
CSM Sacele 1
ACS Medias 3
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Unirea Slobozia -
Agricola Borcea 3
Calarasi 1
Victoria Cumpana 1
Gloria Baneasa 2
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Campionii Arges -
CSO Plopeni 1
Baicoi 2
Flacara Moreni 1
Chindia Targoviste 3
VSK Gyergyo 2
Odorheiu 1
Viitorul Livezile 0
Gloria Bistrita 4
Viitorul Onesti 1
Adjud 0
Sporting Liesti 3
Unirea Branistea 1
Progresul Fundulea 2
Popesti Leordeni 3
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Afumati -
Farcasesti 3
FC U Craiova 2
Pausesti-Otasau 0
Ramnicu Valcea 1
Adunatii-Copaceni 1
Cetatea Turnu Magurele 2
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Concordia -
Braila 5
CSM Ramnicu Sarat 6
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Metalul Buzau -
CSM Vaslui 1
FC Bacau 3
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Ceahlaul -
Viitorul Arad 2
Progresul Pecica 1
Timisul Sag 0
CSC Dumbravita 3
Viitorul Cluj 2
SCM Zalau 1
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FC Bihor -
Sighetu Marmatiei 2
Baia Mare 0
Baile Felix 0
CSM Satu Mare 10
Curtisoara 3
Vedita Colonesti 0
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CSM Slatina -
Sanandrei Timis 0
Politehnica Timisoara 2
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CSM Resita -
LPS HD Clinceni 2
Progresul Spartac 0
Blejoi 1
CS Din. Bucuresti 3
CSM Pascani 4
Stiinta Miroslava 1
Soimii Gura Humorului 3
Bucovina Radauti 1
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Sepsi -
Semi-finals
Jiul Petrosani 0
Corvinul Hunedoara 2
TBD -
Farul Constanta -
Tunari 1
Voluntari 2
TBD -
Miercurea Ciuc -
Poli Iasi -
TBD -
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Petrolul -
Steaua Bucuresti -
TBD -
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FC UTA Arad -
Unirea Alba-Iulia 2
Selimbar 0
TBD -
FC Botosani -
Muscelul Muscel 0
Campulung 2
TBD -
Metaloglobus Bucharest -
Sanatatea Cluj 1
ACS Medias 0
TBD -
Unirea Slobozia -
Agricola Borcea 1
Gloria Baneasa 0
TBD -
Campionii Arges -
Baicoi 3
Chindia Targoviste 2
VSK Gyergyo 1
Gloria Bistrita 5
Viitorul Onesti 1
Sporting Liesti 2
Popesti Leordeni 1
Afumati 2
Farcasesti 3
Ramnicu Valcea 2
Cetatea Turnu Magurele 1
Concordia 6
CSM Ramnicu Sarat 3
Metalul Buzau 4
FC Bacau 0
Ceahlaul 2
Viitorul Arad 1
CSC Dumbravita 3
Viitorul Cluj 0
FC Bihor 2
Sighetu Marmatiei 3
CSM Satu Mare 4
Curtisoara 1
CSM Slatina 4
Politehnica Timisoara 1
CSM Resita 0
LPS HD Clinceni 0
CS Din. Bucuresti 1
CSM Pascani 1
Soimii Gura Humorului 2
TBD -
Sepsi -
Final
Corvinul Hunedoara 0
Farul Constanta 1
Voluntari 1
Miercurea Ciuc 8
Poli Iasi 1
Petrolul 2
Steaua Bucuresti 0
FC UTA Arad 2
Unirea Alba-Iulia 0
FC Botosani 1
Campulung 0
Metaloglobus Bucharest 2
Sanatatea Cluj 2
Unirea Slobozia 1
Agricola Borcea 0
Campionii Arges 1
Baicoi 2
Gloria Bistrita 3
Sporting Liesti 2
Afumati 1
Farcasesti 0
Concordia 3
Metalul Buzau 4
Ceahlaul 0
CSC Dumbravita 2
FC Bihor 1
CSM Satu Mare 0
CSM Slatina 3
Politehnica Timisoara 2
CS Din. Bucuresti 3
Soimii Gura Humorului 0
Sepsi 2
