Sport Picks

Kenya

Premier League

Police FC

2 - 1

Muranga

Our Tip

Match Events

Zakayo E.

37'

Haki V.

84'

Omar A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Police FC and Muranga finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Police FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Police FC

20%

Draws

38%

Muranga

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Police FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Muranga haven't matched Police FC's recent run of results.
Win probability leans Police FC's way, sitting at 42%.
Regular Premier League form gives a decent read on both sides.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%

Police FC Clean Sheet 20%

Muranga Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Police FC	Muranga
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	14	12
Draws	14	8
Losses	5	10
Goals Scored	1.13	1
Goals Conceded	0.25	2.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.13	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.25	2.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 6, 2026 Premier League

Police FC vs Muranga

Possession: 57% - 60% Cards: 4 - 4

2:1

Dec 18, 2025 Premier League

Muranga vs Police FC

Possession: 56% - 45% Cards: 2 - 1

1:0

Mar 15, 2025 Premier League

Police FC vs Muranga

Possession: 41% - 49% Cards: 1 - 0

3:1

Jan 19, 2025 Premier League

Muranga vs Police FC

Possession: 46% - 45% Cards: 0 - 2

0:1

Jun 16, 2024 Premier League

Muranga vs Police FC

Possession: 49% - 47% Cards: 3 - 2

2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Police FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Zakayo E.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Omar A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.87

Avg xA / game 0.56

Muranga Compare

Top Goalscorer Haki V.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Police FC 42 / 100

Muranga 36 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Police FC Muranga

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Police FC scored in 70% of their last 33 outings.

Defensive concern: Muranga conceded in 73% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Solid form: Police FC remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Police FC VS Muranga

1.13 Goals Scored 1

0.25 Goals Conceded 2.13

38% Over 1.5 75%

25% Over 2.5 50%

0% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mahia	34	20	9	5	50:22	69
2	Leopards	34	19	7	8	44:28	64
3	Police FC	34	13	16	5	31:21	55
4	Nairobi United	34	14	11	9	44:34	53
5	Shabana	34	14	10	10	35:34	52
6	Kakamega Homeboyz	34	12	13	9	47:37	49
7	KCB	34	13	9	12	36:37	48
8	Muranga	34	13	8	13	42:41	47
9	Tusker	34	13	6	15	27:32	45
10	APS Bomet	34	11	11	12	37:35	44
11	Mara Sugar	34	10	14	10	30:30	44
12	Bandari	34	9	17	8	26:26	44
13	Ulinzi Stars	34	11	8	15	34:37	41
14	Mathare United	34	11	8	15	31:35	41
15	Posta Rangers	34	9	13	12	31:40	40
16	Kariobangi Sharks	34	8	14	12	30:33	38
17	Bidco United	34	5	12	17	19:40	27
18	Sofapaka	34	3	10	21	19:51	19