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Police nad Metuji vs Usti nad Orlici - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Czech Republic Czech Republic

4. liga - Group C
Sat, Nov 14, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Police nad Metuji host Usti nad Orlici in the 4. liga - Group C. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Recent numbers: Police nad Metuji at 2.03 goals for, 1.62 against; Usti nad Orlici at 1.53 for, 1.47 against. No recent head-to-head history to lean on here — form is the better guide. Model xG sits at 1.88 vs 1.25, favoring Police nad Metuji. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Police nad Metuji
30%
Draws
19%
Usti nad Orlici
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Police nad Metuji

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Police nad Metuji come out ahead of Usti nad Orlici on wins alone.
  • 51% — that's where the model lands on Police nad Metuji taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.4%
Police nad Metuji Clean Sheet 19%
Usti nad Orlici Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Police nad Metuji Usti nad Orlici
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 14 11
Draws 6 9
Losses 9 10
Goals Scored 2.03 1.53
Goals Conceded 1.62 1.47
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Police nad Metuji 85 / 100
Usti nad Orlici 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Police nad Metuji Usti nad Orlici

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Police nad Metuji Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Police nad Metuji scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Recent resilience: Police nad Metuji stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Defensive concern: Usti nad Orlici conceded in 70% of 30 recent games.

Difficult form: Usti nad Orlici registered 2 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Police nad Metuji VS Usti nad Orlici
3.13 Goals Scored 1
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 50%
88% Over 2.5 38%
75% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Police nad Metuji

(Home)
01 Nov
Police nad Metuji
5 : 0
Svitavy
25 Oct
Dvur Kralove
0 : 6
Police nad Metuji
18 Oct
Police nad Metuji
3 : 2
Hlinsko
10 Oct
Slavia HK
1 : 1
Police nad Metuji
04 Oct
Police nad Metuji
4 : 0
Letohrad
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Usti nad Orlici

(Away)
01 Nov
Chlumec nad Cidlinou
0 : 0
Usti nad Orlici
24 Oct
Usti nad Orlici
0 : 0
Vysoke Myto
17 Oct
Prepere
1 : 0
Usti nad Orlici
11 Oct
Usti nad Orlici
1 : 2
Trutnov
04 Oct
Usti nad Orlici
2 : 1
Kolin
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